Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUENCA / AZUAY — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CUENCA / AZUAY / AZUAY · municipal · Municipal councilEC-C-1-260

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUENCA / AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-0077492f0297e113c08ee315
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA25.0%
  • HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO15.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN14.4%
  • ¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO13.9%
  • RENACE - PSE7.9%
  • AZUAY YA7.5%
  • PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR5.4%
  • CONTIGO AVANZA CUENCA Y EL AZUAY4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES4.1%
  • AZUAY LIBRE1.4%
Results for event-64a3f83d7c66e2433ffd1841
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202357,85625%4Recorded
HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO1359ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202335,91315.5%3Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN215ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202333,27614.4%3Recorded
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202332,16813.9%3Recorded
RENACE - PSE1404ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202318,1987.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZUAY YA1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202317,2747.5%2Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202312,3995.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONTIGO AVANZA CUENCA Y EL AZUAY1389ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202311,4244.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMIGO, ACCIÓN MOVILIZADORA INDEPENDIENTE GENERANDO OPORTUNIDADES208ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239,5264.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZUAY LIBRE1017ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,3481.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO19.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO RENACE19.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL17.8%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO11.1%
  • ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS9.4%
  • ALIANZA UNIDAD POR EL CAMBIO4.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONTIGO3.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.8%
  • PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP2.5%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE2.3%
  • ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION1.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO1.4%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA0.4%
Results for event-9f37a40636ea30f205a1251f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO560ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019212,43219%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CIUDADANO RENACE267ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019211,54319%4Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019198,35017.8%3Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO556ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019123,50811.1%2Recorded
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS748ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019104,8799.4%2Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD POR EL CAMBIO677ecuador/Sed7b513864/201952,7344.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONTIGO139ecuador/Sed7b513864/201934,5553.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1ecuador/Sed7b513864/201931,4532.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POLÍTICO AVANZA25ecuador/Sed7b513864/201930,0532.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP235ecuador/Sed7b513864/201927,8812.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE158ecuador/Sed7b513864/201925,7502.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA750ecuador/Sed7b513864/201921,7521.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION18ecuador/Sed7b513864/201920,7691.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO3ecuador/Sed7b513864/201915,3951.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20194,5900.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS42.7%
  • ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8235.9%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA6.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO6.0%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO5.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"2.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO1.6%
Results for event-54484eca0f3d3dcf0823034f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014488,45442.7%9Recorded
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-821008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014411,14435.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201469,7936.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201469,2146%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201458,5915.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201429,9612.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201418,0461.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11448,315
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 260,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 448315,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-C-1-260",
  "name": "CUENCA / AZUAY",
  "office": "Municipal council",
  "precinct_rows": [
    25,
    26,
    27,
    28,
    29,
    30,
    31,
    32,
    33,
    34,
    35,
    36,
    37,
    38,
    39,
    40,
    41,
    42,
    43,
    44,
    45,
    46,
    47,
    48,
    49,
    50,
    51,
    52,
    53,
    54,
    55,
    56,
    57,
    58,
    59,
    60,
    61,
    62,
    63,
    64,
    65,
    66,
    67,
    68,
    69,
    70,
    71,
    72,
    73,
    74,
    75,
    76,
    77,
    78,
    79,
    80,
    81,
    82,
    83,
    84,
    85,
    86,
    87,
    88,
    89,
    90,
    91,
    92,
    93,
    94,
    95,
    96,
    97,
    98,
    99,
    100,
    101,
    102,
    103,
    104,
    105,
    106,
    107,
    108,
    109,
    110,
    111,
    112,
    113,
    114,
    115,
    116,
    117,
    118,
    119,
    120,
    121,
    122,
    123,
    124,
    125,
    126,
    127,
    128,
    129,
    130,
    131,
    132,
    133,
    134,
    135,
    136,
    137,
    138,
    139,
    140,
    141,
    142,
    143,
    144,
    145,
    146,
    147,
    148,
    149,
    150,
    151,
    152,
    153,
    154,
    155,
    156,
    157,
    158,
    159,
    160,
    161,
    162,
    163,
    164,
    165,
    166,
    167,
    168,
    169,
    170,
    171,
    172
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CUENCA / AZUAY — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-C-1-260. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.