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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cartagena — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Cartagena / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13001

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cartagena / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-4707a41463e7e1a4133d704f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS PARA AVANZAR47.8%
  • PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE16.9%
  • VALIENTES POR CARTAGENA11.3%
  • LOS TRES GOLPES10.7%
  • INDEPENDIENTES7.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA1.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN1.4%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO0.9%
  • CEDE party code 202300040.8%
  • CEDE party code 202300030.6%
  • CARTAGENA FUERTE Y LIBRE0.5%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE0.3%
Results for event-a77b30a2f15ab6e96055ab79
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS PARA AVANZAR · Dumek Jose Turbay Paz20232174colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023160,64847.8%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE · Javier Julio Bejarano20231623colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202356,89316.9%UnknownRecorded
VALIENTES POR CARTAGENA · Judith Del Carmen Pinedo Florez20232279colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202338,01611.3%UnknownRecorded
LOS TRES GOLPES · William Garcia Tirado20231485colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202335,88510.7%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Jose Luis Osorio Galvis20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202323,6627%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Jacqueline Del Carmen Perea Blanco19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,7861.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Fabio Aristizabal Angel19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,6761.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Nausicrate Perez Dautt19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,1880.9%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230004 · Gustavo Ramon Martinez Theran20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,7530.8%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230003 · Eduardo Villanueva Orozco20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,8790.6%UnknownRecorded
CARTAGENA FUERTE Y LIBRE · Javier Manuel Doria Arrieta20230209colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,5790.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Richard Martinez Filoz20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,1730.3%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • G.S.C SALVEMOS A CARTAGENA34.2%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES31.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U13.4%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE6.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA-BOL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y MOVIMIENTO MIRA - "JUNTOS HAREMOS EL CAMBIO"5.3%
  • G.S.C CAMBIEMOS2.6%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE1.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA-BOL. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - "TRANSFORMEMOS A CARTAGENA"1.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.2%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA0.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.5%
  • G.S.C COMPROMISO CIUDADANO POR CARTAGENA0.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA0.5%
  • FUERZA ALTERNATIVA REVOLUCIONARIA DEL COMUN FARC - PARTIDO COMUNES0.2%
Results for event-a061a418bf1ada162cc4e999
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
G.S.C SALVEMOS A CARTAGENA · William Jorge Dau Chamatt20190130colombia/S67eb704c85/2019114,23934.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · William Garcia Tirado20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019103,63331.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Yolanda Wong Baldiris20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201944,86513.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Sergio Alfonso Londoño Zurek20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/201920,4506.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA-BOL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y MOVIMIENTO MIRA - "JUNTOS HAREMOS EL CAMBIO" · Fernando Araujo Perdomo20190421colombia/S67eb704c85/201917,7105.3%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C CAMBIEMOS · Jaime Ricardo Hernandez Amin20191789colombia/S67eb704c85/20198,6802.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Wilman Herrera Imitola20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,1661.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARTAGENA-BOL. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO - "TRANSFORMEMOS A CARTAGENA" · Nabil George Baladi Gedeon20190422colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,9411.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Armando Luis Cordoba Julio20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,0461.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Adelina Covo20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,9820.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · German Nestor Viana Guerrero19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,7560.5%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C COMPROMISO CIUDADANO POR CARTAGENA · Claudia Pia Fadul Rosa20190129colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,7380.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Minerva Romero Julio20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,7150.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA ALTERNATIVA REVOLUCIONARIA DEL COMUN FARC - PARTIDO COMUNES · Rosmery Torres Saenz20170003colombia/S67eb704c85/20197150.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PRIMERO LA GENTE40.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO32.2%
  • CARTAGENA CONFIRMA15.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE7.1%
  • UNION PATRIOTICA - UP1.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.2%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.5%
Results for event-06ccc56d1cf35c9a9915f640
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRIMERO LA GENTE · Manuel Vicente De Jesus Duque Vasquez20070285colombia/S8164286948/2015127,44040.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Antonio Quinto Guerra Varela18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015100,35832.2%UnknownRecorded
CARTAGENA CONFIRMA · Andres Fernando Betancour Gonzalez20150060colombia/S8164286948/201548,54315.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Gina Del Rosario Benedetti De Velez20130001colombia/S8164286948/201522,0757.1%UnknownRecorded
UNION PATRIOTICA - UP · Reinaldo Rafael Manjarrez Muñoz19850001colombia/S8164286948/20154,2231.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Fabio Yezid Castellanos Herrera20090002colombia/S8164286948/20153,8421.2%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Comite Promotor Voto En Blanco20050001colombia/S8164286948/20153,5351.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Rosario Magdalena Romero Ibarra19910001colombia/S8164286948/20151,6330.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=30.866786855398672, oldest_gap=8.689904347519168, previous_gap=3.178913546499782

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,13.447289860806388,0,0,1.2126988694265606,0,0,0,0.5263220995336235,84.81368917023342],[32.20225317584847,0,0,0,7.083289213185346,1.232797153207615,0,0,1.1342888955202808,0.5239869211837677,57.823384641054524]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,13.447289860806388,0,0,1.2126988694265606,0,0,0,0.5263220995336235,84.81368917023342],[32.20225317584847,0,0,0,7.083289213185346,1.232797153207615,0,0,1.1342888955202808,0.5239869211837677,57.823384641054524]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,13.447289860806388,0,0,1.2126988694265606,0,0,0,0.5263220995336235,84.81368917023342],[32.20225317584847,0,0,0,7.083289213185346,1.232797153207615,0,0,1.1342888955202808,0.5239869211837677,57.823384641054524]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Cartagena — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13001. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.