Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CALVARY — Municipal electoral district councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Trinidad and Tobago · CALVARY / ARIMA · other · Municipal electoral district councillorTT-W-ARIMA-CALVARY

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual single-member ward record. The same votes also appear in its corporation aggregate. Exact normalized names are joined within the same corporation; name matches alone do not certify unchanged boundaries. Older candidate names and the complete intervening-event sequence remain under review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CALVARY / ARIMA
Next election
2027-08
Linked upcoming event
next-97682b9a731bc63a44df0150
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-08 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-08-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • NTA33.2%
  • PNM66.8%
Results for event-95743d243c6ad8af8ce50edd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
NTA · OLIVER, FAHIMA GABRIELLE N.T.A.trinidad-and-tobago/S0063554cc2/202342233.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNM · SCOTT, JENIECE ELIZABETH P.N.M.trinidad-and-tobago/S0063554cc2/202385166.8%1Recorded

2019-12-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • NTP0.9%
  • UNC27.7%
  • PNM71.4%
Results for event-2b166f69b84ad68ca7ed91c6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
NTPtrinidad-and-tobago/Sfed72d3252/2019110.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNCtrinidad-and-tobago/Sfed72d3252/201935727.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNMtrinidad-and-tobago/Sfed72d3252/201991971.4%1Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MSJ9.6%
  • PNM68.9%
  • UNC21.5%
Results for event-e41d5e33caed501c21bd4b30
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MSJtrinidad-and-tobago/S2157f02080/20161159.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNMtrinidad-and-tobago/S2157f02080/201682568.9%1Recorded
UNCtrinidad-and-tobago/S2157f02080/201625721.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=33.699921445404556, oldest_gap=47.451963241436914, previous_gap=43.66744366744366

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Exact PNM and UNC labels, plus Other for all minor parties and independent candidates. Corporation and ward ballots overlap and are not summed across levels. Boundary changes and intervening ward events remain subject to the office review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PNM","UNC","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[66.84996072270228,0,33.15003927729772],[71.4063714063714,27.73892773892774,0.8547008547008547],[68.92230576441102,21.470342522974104,9.60735171261487]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Exact PNM and UNC labels, plus Other for all minor parties and independent candidates. Corporation and ward ballots overlap and are not summed across levels. Boundary changes and intervening ward events remain subject to the office review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PNM","UNC","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[66.84996072270228,0,33.15003927729772],[71.4063714063714,27.73892773892774,0.8547008547008547],[68.92230576441102,21.470342522974104,9.60735171261487]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.52percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Exact PNM and UNC labels, plus Other for all minor parties and independent candidates. Corporation and ward ballots overlap and are not summed across levels. Boundary changes and intervening ward events remain subject to the office review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PNM","UNC","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[66.84996072270228,0,33.15003927729772],[71.4063714063714,27.73892773892774,0.8547008547008547],[68.92230576441102,21.470342522974104,9.60735171261487]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Resolved rejected-ballot OCR discrepancy: Five individually inspected total rows restore 43 rejected ballots; 361178 valid + 1082 rejected = 362260 official ballots.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CALVARY — Municipal electoral district councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/TT-W-ARIMA-CALVARY. Sources: trinidad-and-tobago--url-e06d066df6b1c4f85a3de4c1, trinidad-and-tobago--url-c6b46fcdadf702b8058e8dde, trinidad-and-tobago--url-f7e2ea4d318ed2fe90b34e7c, trinidad-and-tobago--S0063554cc2, trinidad-and-tobago--Sfed72d3252, trinidad-and-tobago--S2157f02080.