Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ARIMA NORTHEAST — Municipal electoral district councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Trinidad and Tobago · ARIMA NORTHEAST / ARIMA · other · Municipal electoral district councillorTT-W-ARIMA-ARIMA-NORTHEAST

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual single-member ward record. The same votes also appear in its corporation aggregate. Exact normalized names are joined within the same corporation; name matches alone do not certify unchanged boundaries. Older candidate names and the complete intervening-event sequence remain under review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ARIMA NORTHEAST / ARIMA
Next election
2027-08
Linked upcoming event
next-7ca1cb0dfd80ff112e488606
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-08 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-08-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PEP6.1%
  • PNM47.0%
  • UNC46.9%
Results for event-811a9e15ec871dee513c1946
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PEP · CLEMENT, CURT BARTHOLOMEW P.E.P.trinidad-and-tobago/S0063554cc2/2023816.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNM · GARCIA, KIM MAGDALENE P.N.M.trinidad-and-tobago/S0063554cc2/202362547%1Recorded
UNC · RIGSBY, JAIRZINHO DOMINGO GUSTAV U.N.C.trinidad-and-tobago/S0063554cc2/202362446.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-12-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PNM62.8%
  • UNC37.2%
Results for event-d8d559a7c7cbf59734ea357a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PNMtrinidad-and-tobago/Sfed72d3252/201977462.8%1Recorded
UNCtrinidad-and-tobago/Sfed72d3252/201945937.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PNM65.5%
  • MSJ5.4%
  • UNC29.1%
Results for event-15e05c01a4f3d802ce0430e5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PNMtrinidad-and-tobago/S2157f02080/201686365.5%1Recorded
MSJtrinidad-and-tobago/S2157f02080/2016715.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNCtrinidad-and-tobago/S2157f02080/201638329.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

43.230–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.07518796992481214, oldest_gap=36.44646924829158, previous_gap=25.547445255474457

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Exact PNM and UNC labels, plus Other for all minor parties and independent candidates. Corporation and ward ballots overlap and are not summed across levels. Boundary changes and intervening ward events remain subject to the office review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PNM","UNC","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[46.99248120300752,46.91729323308271,6.090225563909774],[62.77372262773723,37.22627737226277,0],[65.52771450265756,29.08124525436598,5.3910402429764614]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Exact PNM and UNC labels, plus Other for all minor parties and independent candidates. Corporation and ward ballots overlap and are not summed across levels. Boundary changes and intervening ward events remain subject to the office review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PNM","UNC","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[46.99248120300752,46.91729323308271,6.090225563909774],[62.77372262773723,37.22627737226277,0],[65.52771450265756,29.08124525436598,5.3910402429764614]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Exact PNM and UNC labels, plus Other for all minor parties and independent candidates. Corporation and ward ballots overlap and are not summed across levels. Boundary changes and intervening ward events remain subject to the office review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PNM","UNC","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[46.99248120300752,46.91729323308271,6.090225563909774],[62.77372262773723,37.22627737226277,0],[65.52771450265756,29.08124525436598,5.3910402429764614]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Resolved rejected-ballot OCR discrepancy: Five individually inspected total rows restore 43 rejected ballots; 361178 valid + 1082 rejected = 362260 official ballots.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ARIMA NORTHEAST — Municipal electoral district councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/TT-W-ARIMA-ARIMA-NORTHEAST. Sources: trinidad-and-tobago--url-e06d066df6b1c4f85a3de4c1, trinidad-and-tobago--url-c6b46fcdadf702b8058e8dde, trinidad-and-tobago--url-f7e2ea4d318ed2fe90b34e7c, trinidad-and-tobago--S0063554cc2, trinidad-and-tobago--Sfed72d3252, trinidad-and-tobago--S2157f02080.