Office briefing
VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · MayorPY-11-029-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-4c342be23376b28bd82bb05a
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-09-10
Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOunknown
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · SERGIO AGUSTIN ESTIGARRIBIA MEDINA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2023 | Unknown | Unknown | 1 | Recorded |
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO71.5%
- PARTIDO COLORADO23.5%
- ALIANZA VILLA ELISA2.7%
- PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY1.3%
- PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.8%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RICARDO ADOLFO ESTIGARRIBIA MEDINA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 22,802 | 71.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · MIGUEL ANGEL FRETES ALMADA | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 7,492 | 23.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ALIANZA VILLA ELISA · JORGE ELIAS RECALDE LEON | AVEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 852 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO VERDE PARAGUAY · CARLOS DAMIAN CARDOZO ORTEGA | PVPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 411 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · ANGEL TORALES CAÑETE | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 247 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JULIO CESAR DEL ROSARIO GIMENEZ OZUNA | CNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 97 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO51.2%
- PARTIDO COLORADO43.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS1.4%
- PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD1.4%
- CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS1.3%
- PARTIDO UNACE1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · RICARDO ADOLFO ESTIGARRIBIA MEDINA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 12,367 | 51.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · SERGIO ANTONIO VERON DE ASTRADA PAEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 10,572 | 43.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS · JULIO CESAR GARCETE TRIBUCIO | PSDHparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 339 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD · CELIO RAMON ESTIGARRIBIA GONZALEZ | PJparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 327 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · PEDRO JOAQUIN GODOY ALVARENGA | CJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 319 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE · ROMAN FLORENCIO RIQUELME RAMIREZ | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 245 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2010-11-07 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=7.426869129877112, previous_gap=47.9922259490298
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[23.485157205103288,71.4773831541331,0,0,0.7742703990470519,0.30406570326949,3.959123538447071],[43.74198353262444,51.16885266250155,0,0,1.0136952294261243,0,4.075468575447887]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility20.61percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[23.485157205103288,71.4773831541331,0,0,0.7742703990470519,0.30406570326949,3.959123538447071],[43.74198353262444,51.16885266250155,0,0,1.0136952294261243,0,4.075468575447887]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[23.485157205103288,71.4773831541331,0,0,0.7742703990470519,0.30406570326949,3.959123538447071],[43.74198353262444,51.16885266250155,0,0,1.0136952294261243,0,4.075468575447887]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA ELISA / CENTRAL — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-029-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.