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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ÑEMBY / CENTRAL — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · ÑEMBY / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · MayorPY-11-023-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ÑEMBY / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8c14955ed9c42e48010ac0b3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO51.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.6%
  • MOV PATRIA NUEVA ÑEMBY2.3%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.0%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADA0.8%
  • MOV JUNTOS POR LA CONQUISTA0.6%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A0.4%
Results for event-007d6206fff10ce562ed6e69
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · TOMAS OLMEDOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202122,68051.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · HECTOR LUCIO LESME DELGADOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202119,28643.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV PATRIA NUEVA ÑEMBY · PAUBLO JIMENEZ SOSAPNÑparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,0122.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CLARA ELIZABETH OCAMPOS GALEANOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214521%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADA · REBECA NOEMI ASCONA RUIZPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213450.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV JUNTOS POR LA CONQUISTA · FATIMA CRISTINA RUIZ PERALTAMJPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212730.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · NELSON LUCIANO RIVEROS NUÑEZPNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211640.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO53.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE ÑEMBYENSE UNIDOS1.1%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS0.6%
Results for event-6c876141bbab0046b1ec8cd2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUCAS DAVID LANZONI ACOSTAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201518,88753.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ADELAIDA CANTERO DE TORRESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201515,90044.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE ÑEMBYENSE UNIDOS · ANIBAL SALOMON ALFONSO TRINIDADMIÑUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154011.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · JORGE LUIS BORJACJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152100.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2013-09-09

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Liberal Radical Auténticounknown
Results for event-ead9918cc21f288fe1439f01
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido Liberal Radical Auténtico · EVER DANIEL FERREIRA BARRIOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2013UnknownUnknown1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2010-11-07 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.6766488736089755, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=8.438329849144019

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[51.2982900569981,43.62164118338912,0,0,1.022346874151814,0,4.0577218854609605],[44.91779196564778,53.3561218147918,0,0,0,0,1.7260862195604272],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[51.2982900569981,43.62164118338912,0,0,1.022346874151814,0,4.0577218854609605],[44.91779196564778,53.3561218147918,0,0,0,0,1.7260862195604272],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[51.2982900569981,43.62164118338912,0,0,1.022346874151814,0,4.0577218854609605],[44.91779196564778,53.3561218147918,0,0,0,0,1.7260862195604272],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “ÑEMBY / CENTRAL — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-023-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.