Office briefing
AREGUA / CENTRAL — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · AREGUA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL · municipal · MayorPY-11-000-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- AREGUA / CENTRAL / CENTRAL
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-05b22d7cf8beae558343e4b0
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO53.2%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.5%
- PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A7.9%
- PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.8%
- PARTIDO PARTICIPACION CIUDADANA0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · HUMBERTO DENIS TORRES FLEYTAS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 13,207 | 53.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · JORGE ADALBERTO ROLON FIGUEREDO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 9,063 | 36.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO NACIONAL DE LA GENTE 30A · TRIGIDIO INSFRAN RODAS | PNG30Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,972 | 7.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · YENNIFER YOHANA GALEANO MOREL | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 436 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PARTICIPACION CIUDADANA · OSCAR GABRIEL RUIZ DIAZ ACOSTA | PPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 139 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO54.3%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO43.3%
- PARTIDO UNACE2.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · HUMBERTO DENIS TORRES FLEYTAS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 10,141 | 54.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS ALBERTO MERCEDES VILLALBA JARA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 8,086 | 43.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE · JUAN RAMON CABAÑAS ROJAS | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 434 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO49.8%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO44.2%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.1%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.9%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CESAR OSVALDO LEIVA CABALLERO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 6,821 | 49.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUIS ALBERTO MERCEDES VILLALBA JARA | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 6,051 | 44.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MAURICIO BARTOLOME DIAZ DELMAS | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 568 | 4.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA · JOSE MARIA BERNAL PAREDES | PDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 129 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · FRANCISCO FLORENCIAÑEZ | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 123 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI30.580–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.698231051295487, oldest_gap=5.623721881390594, previous_gap=11.012271582444676
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.51percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[53.21755248418423,36.519321432888745,0,0,1.7568602167868799,0,8.506265866140145],[54.34328278227319,43.33101119982852,0,0,2.3257060178982907,0,0],[49.81741162722758,44.193689745836984,0,0,4.148407829389424,0,1.8404907975460123]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility4.53percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[53.21755248418423,36.519321432888745,0,0,1.7568602167868799,0,8.506265866140145],[54.34328278227319,43.33101119982852,0,0,2.3257060178982907,0,0],[49.81741162722758,44.193689745836984,0,0,4.148407829389424,0,1.8404907975460123]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility6.52percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[53.21755248418423,36.519321432888745,0,0,1.7568602167868799,0,8.506265866140145],[54.34328278227319,43.33101119982852,0,0,2.3257060178982907,0,0],[49.81741162722758,44.193689745836984,0,0,4.148407829389424,0,1.8404907975460123]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “AREGUA / CENTRAL — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-11-000-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.