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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-10-017-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-dbc562baea8cb580ba78061b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO22.5%
  • MOV CONCIENCIA DEMOCRATICA MINGUERA18.3%
  • MOV OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS2.6%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO2.3%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.1%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.8%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.0%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA1.0%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS0.8%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO0.6%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR0.5%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS0.4%
Results for event-67766e5249bd45e3bce03b24
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · DIGNO CABALLERO RUIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202113,99645.5%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GILBERTO ZAPATTINI ORUEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,91022.5%3Recorded
MOV CONCIENCIA DEMOCRATICA MINGUERA · DIEGO AMILCAR RIOS LLANOCDMparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,62218.3%2Recorded
MOV OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS · SANTIAGO LOPEZOPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20217852.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20217092.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216472.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · GUMERCINDA CORONELPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215571.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213131%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213071%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOSPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212580.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIOPFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211790.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULARPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211640.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · FERMIN GONZALEZPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211530.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROSPSDHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211320.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.9%
  • MOV. OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS6.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA4.5%
  • PARTIDO UNACE3.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.8%
  • MOV. POLITICO INDEPENDIENTE APOYO MINGUERO2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO1.7%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO1.0%
Results for event-f948f5c94a672982ef0b349c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · DIGNO CABALLERO RUIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159,71653.2%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MIGUEL ANGEL FERNANDEZ FLEITASPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,54324.9%4Recorded
MOV. OPORTUNIDAD PARA TODOS · SANTIAGO LOPEZOPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,0926%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · GUSTAVO RAMON MERCADO ZARATEPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158294.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · FRANCISCO JAVIER MARTINEZ GALLINARUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155623.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · HERIBERTO GARCETE PORTILLOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155182.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. POLITICO INDEPENDIENTE APOYO MINGUEROMPIAMparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154962.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO · PEDRO ROMERO GIMENEZPOICHOparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153081.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMOP_MASparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151831%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO31.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS10.7%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA4.1%
  • FRENTE GUASU1.0%
Results for event-e61dc46d736479b2558423b5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · DIGNO CABALLERO RUIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106,76253.3%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CESAR WALDINO SEGOVIA AGUILERAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,93131%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,36110.7%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · DOMINGO ALVAREZ AGUEROPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20105184.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · RICARDO ANSELMO BARRIOS SANTACRUZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101231%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.057399453338537, oldest_gap=22.30011815675463, previous_gap=28.3498657313531

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.54210594819732,22.48470649485878,1.8124430560978784,0,2.105297409865938,0,28.055447090980085],[53.24710911382693,24.89724338247383,0,0,3.079958349317696,2.83882282018962,15.93686633419192],[53.265064986215044,30.964946829460416,0,0,10.720756203229618,0.968885387948011,4.080346593146908]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.54210594819732,22.48470649485878,1.8124430560978784,0,2.105297409865938,0,28.055447090980085],[53.24710911382693,24.89724338247383,0,0,3.079958349317696,2.83882282018962,15.93686633419192],[53.265064986215044,30.964946829460416,0,0,10.720756203229618,0.968885387948011,4.080346593146908]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.83percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.54210594819732,22.48470649485878,1.8124430560978784,0,2.105297409865938,0,28.055447090980085],[53.24710911382693,24.89724338247383,0,0,3.079958349317696,2.83882282018962,15.93686633419192],[53.265064986215044,30.964946829460416,0,0,10.720756203229618,0.968885387948011,4.080346593146908]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MINGA GUAZU / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-017-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.