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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

HERNANDARIAS / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · HERNANDARIAS / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-10-005-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
HERNANDARIAS / ALTO PARANA / ALTO PARANA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8289f1f143103d9354ddd3fa
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO34.0%
  • MOV POL INDEP UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO20.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO16.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA4.9%
  • MOV INDEP DE PARAGUAYOS IDEALISTAS Y SOBERANOS4.1%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO3.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO3.0%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.9%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.5%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA1.4%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.4%
  • MOV INDEP HERNANDARIAS IPORAVETA1.2%
  • MOV HERNANDARIAS PARA TODOS0.9%
  • PARTIDO HAGAMOS0.9%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE HERNANDARIENSES0.8%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS0.7%
  • MOV CONCIENCIA DEMOCRATICA HERNANDARIENSE0.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.5%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.5%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR0.4%
  • MOV NARANJA0.4%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU0.2%
Results for event-f46309a85f9fff206e53e29e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · FREDDY ALFREDO ATANACIO CHAMORRO MONZONANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202111,41734%6Recorded
MOV POL INDEP UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO · EMILIANO NELSON CANO OZUNAMPIUCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,96020.7%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALCIRA AGUEDA MARIA CACERES DE CASTILLOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,43716.2%3Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · JORGE DANIEL DURE ESCOBARPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,6514.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEP DE PARAGUAYOS IDEALISTAS Y SOBERANOSMIPAISparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,3774.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO · GUSTAVO RAMON GONZALEZ BRITEZPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,1613.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,0183%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216281.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215001.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214781.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · OVIDIO JAVIER LEGUIZAMONCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214711.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEP HERNANDARIAS IPORAVETA · JARO ILICINEO ANZOATEGUI MARIÑOMIHIparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214171.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV HERNANDARIAS PARA TODOSHPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213120.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO HAGAMOSPPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212950.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE HERNANDARIENSESMIHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212740.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · JACINTO RIQUELME GAYOSOPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212400.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV CONCIENCIA DEMOCRATICA HERNANDARIENSECDHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212290.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211830.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONALPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211660.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULARPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211410.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV NARANJAMNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211380.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU · LUIS ALBERTO ESCOBAR ESPINOLAPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021620.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO25.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO17.2%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO5.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LA PARTICIPACION CIUDADANA5.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA A4.6%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA4.0%
  • MOV. POLITICO INDEP. GENTE JOVEN AL PODER4.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU3.1%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2.9%
  • MOV. POLITICO INDEP. TODOS POR HERNANDARIAS2.8%
  • MOV. POLITICO INDEP. HERNANDARIAS PYAHURA2.8%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS2.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CIUDADANOS LIBRES2.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA2.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUD2.2%
  • MOV. POLITICO INDEP. UNIDOS POR HERNANDARIAS2.1%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.0%
  • MOV.POLIT.INDEP.FRENTE DE INTEGRACION POPULAR2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO1.9%
  • MOV. POLITICO INDEP. DE INTEGRACION CIUDADANA1.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACION CIUDADANA1.0%
  • MOV. POLITICO INDEP. FUERZA REAL CIUDADANA0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE HERNANDARIAS POSIBLE0.8%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.6%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU0.5%
Results for event-a2a2a31c69a4ffd678b6a311
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RUBEN AMANCIO ROJAS FERREIRAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155,43225%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MARIO CASTILLO GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,73217.2%4Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIOPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,2785.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA PARTICIPACION CIUDADANAPPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,1495.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA AMDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159894.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158784%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. POLITICO INDEP. GENTE JOVEN AL PODERGJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158774%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JOSE GUSTAVO ZACARIAS DOLDANFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156673.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156302.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. POLITICO INDEP. TODOS POR HERNANDARIASTPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156182.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. POLITICO INDEP. HERNANDARIAS PYAHURAHPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155992.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155092.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CIUDADANOS LIBRES · ROLF ERNESTO LORENZO STOCKL NOPPERMCLparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155062.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154912.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUVENTUDPJparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154832.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. POLITICO INDEP. UNIDOS POR HERNANDARIAS · ELVIO RAUL FERNANDEZ NUÑEZMIUPHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154562.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154302%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV.POLIT.INDEP.FRENTE DE INTEGRACION POPULARFIPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154262%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POICHO · NESTOR FABIAN AYALA AGUILARPOICHOparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154201.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. POLITICO INDEP. DE INTEGRACION CIUDADANAMICparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153581.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO INTEGRACION CIUDADANAMICHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152081%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV. POLITICO INDEP. FUERZA REAL CIUDADANAMFRCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151810.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE HERNANDARIAS POSIBLEMIHPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151680.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · FAUSTINO PORTILLO RESQUINUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151410.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHUPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151080.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO32.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO26.2%
  • FRENTE GUASU9.1%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO8.4%
  • PUEBLO UNIDO7.3%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO 20 DE ABRIL4.4%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS4.0%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA1.2%
Results for event-a8866372ac4db85cc21e92cb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARMEN ALVAREZ BENITEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104,79432.5%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MARIO CASTILLO GONZALEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,87126.2%4Recorded
FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,3449.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO · MIGUEL ANGEL ORTELLADO TORALESPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,2378.4%1Recorded
PUEBLO UNIDOPUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,0847.3%1Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · ROLF ERNESTO LORENZO STOCKL NOPPERPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106834.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO 20 DE ABRIL · DERLI JULIAN BENITEZ CHAMORROM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106514.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20105964%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMOP_MASparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103112.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO SOLIDARIDAD REPUBLICANA · DIRCEU ANTONIO PAESMPSRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101821.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

45.290–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.28267024288482, oldest_gap=6.256354639734294, previous_gap=7.821845955645532

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[34.024735508866044,16.203248398152287,1.871554164804053,4.920280137088362,1.4900908955446281,1.4036656236030398,40.086425271941586],[24.993098371215606,17.171252415570073,2.898684089445109,1.9784669181926935,0.648753105732953,3.068924266126806,49.24082083371675],[32.49508574527215,26.238731105537855,0,4.6295668677557105,4.039856300413475,9.110011523080052,23.486748457940756]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[34.024735508866044,16.203248398152287,1.871554164804053,4.920280137088362,1.4900908955446281,1.4036656236030398,40.086425271941586],[24.993098371215606,17.171252415570073,2.898684089445109,1.9784669181926935,0.648753105732953,3.068924266126806,49.24082083371675],[32.49508574527215,26.238731105537855,0,4.6295668677557105,4.039856300413475,9.110011523080052,23.486748457940756]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[34.024735508866044,16.203248398152287,1.871554164804053,4.920280137088362,1.4900908955446281,1.4036656236030398,40.086425271941586],[24.993098371215606,17.171252415570073,2.898684089445109,1.9784669181926935,0.648753105732953,3.068924266126806,49.24082083371675],[32.49508574527215,26.238731105537855,0,4.6295668677557105,4.039856300413475,9.110011523080052,23.486748457940756]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “HERNANDARIAS / ALTO PARANA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-10-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.