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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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NATALIO / ITAPUA — Mayor

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NATALIO / ITAPUA — Mayor
Latin America register

Paraguay · ITAPUA

NATALIO / ITAPUA — Mayor

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 45.1/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 51.1 points; earlier interval 32.4 points; two-interval mean 41.7 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA NATALIO PARA TODOSMARCO MAIDANA OJEDA3,71046.33%1
PARTIDO COLORADOLURDES GRISELDA GARAY TORRES3,16939.57%0
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFRANCISCO ISAAC MORENO ARCE7479.33%0
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIOJOSE GOLASIK BORICHUK1822.27%0
MOV POLITICO INDEPENDIENTE RENACER NATALIOLUIS ANTONIO BRIZUELA DUARTE1561.95%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALJUAN DE ROSA ROMERO440.55%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADORAMON SANTACRUZ SHNEIDER CASTILLO3,00649.69%1
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUJORGE GALARZA IBARRA1,74828.89%0
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOFABIO SEBASTIAN ZARZA RAMIREZ1,29621.42%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOLILIAN MARTINEZ DE KROHU2,41746.20%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOLUCIANO RAMON MARTINEZ IRRAZABAL2,06139.39%0
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSLUIS HERMINIO ENCISO GARCIA74214.18%0
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAJUAN DE DIOS MOREL LEGUIZAMON120.23%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANACARLOS ENRIQUE KROHN GYSIN2,51265.47%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOLUCIANO RAMON MARTINEZ IMAZABAL89023.20%0
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSWALTER RODAS SALINAS43511.34%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAMODESTA GERONIMA GONZALEZ DE DELVALLE1,75549.53%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOLUCIANO RAMON MARTINEZ IRRAZABAL1,61645.61%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALNORA BELLA FLORENTIN NUÑEZ1724.85%0

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANAERNESTO DELVALLE RODRIGUEZ2,66763.33%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO1,05024.93%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL49411.73%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-07-037-M.