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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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NATALIO / ITAPUA — Municipal council

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NATALIO / ITAPUA — Municipal council
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Paraguay · ITAPUA

NATALIO / ITAPUA — Municipal council

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 0.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 25.1 points; earlier interval 34.5 points; two-interval mean 29.8 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOLURDES GRISELDA GARAY TORRES3,99550.25%7
MOV NATALIO PYAHU 20501,24315.64%2
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO1,15314.50%2
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFRANCISCO ISAAC MORENO ARCE7359.25%1
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALJUAN DE ROSA ROMERO3464.35%0
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIOJOSE GOLASIK BORICHUK2583.25%0
MOV POLITICO INDEPENDIENTE RENACER NATALIOLUIS ANTONIO BRIZUELA DUARTE2202.77%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADORAMON SANTACRUZ SHNEIDER CASTILLO2,74746.77%6
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUJORGE GALARZA IBARRA1,62927.74%3
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOFABIO SEBASTIAN ZARZA RAMIREZ91515.58%2
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL4948.41%1
PARTIDO UNACE881.50%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOLILIAN MARTINEZ DE KROHU2,19543.09%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOLUCIANO RAMON MARTINEZ IRRAZABAL1,55430.51%4
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSLUIS HERMINIO ENCISO GARCIA76415.00%2
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAJUAN DE DIOS MOREL LEGUIZAMON3116.11%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2705.30%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANACARLOS ENRIQUE KROHN GYSIN2,51265.98%8
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOLUCIANO RAMON MARTINEZ IMAZABAL90823.85%3
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSWALTER RODAS SALINAS38710.17%1

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAMODESTA GERONIMA GONZALEZ DE DELVALLE1,82951.90%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOLUCIANO RAMON MARTINEZ IRRAZABAL1,41940.27%5
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALNORA BELLA FLORENTIN NUÑEZ2767.83%1

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANA2,65263.11%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO1,01624.18%2
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL53412.71%1

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-07-037-C.