Office briefing
NATALIO / ITAPUA — Municipal council
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · NATALIO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-07-037-C
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- NATALIO / ITAPUA / ITAPUA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-79ec90a7421a194914a41559
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO50.3%
- MOV NATALIO PYAHU 205015.6%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO14.5%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU9.2%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL4.4%
- PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO3.2%
- MOV POLITICO INDEPENDIENTE RENACER NATALIO2.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · LURDES GRISELDA GARAY TORRES | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 3,995 | 50.3% | 7 | Recorded |
| MOV NATALIO PYAHU 2050 | NPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,243 | 15.6% | 2 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 1,153 | 14.5% | 2 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · FRANCISCO ISAAC MORENO ARCE | CNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 735 | 9.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN DE ROSA ROMERO | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 346 | 4.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO · JOSE GOLASIK BORICHUK | PFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 258 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOV POLITICO INDEPENDIENTE RENACER NATALIO · LUIS ANTONIO BRIZUELA DUARTE | MORENAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 220 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO46.8%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU27.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO15.6%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL8.4%
- PARTIDO UNACE1.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · RAMON SANTACRUZ SHNEIDER CASTILLO | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 2,747 | 46.8% | 6 | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JORGE GALARZA IBARRA | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 1,629 | 27.7% | 3 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FABIO SEBASTIAN ZARZA RAMIREZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 915 | 15.6% | 2 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 494 | 8.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 88 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO43.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO30.5%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS15.0%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA6.1%
- PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL5.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · LILIAN MARTINEZ DE KROHU | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 2,195 | 43.1% | 6 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · LUCIANO RAMON MARTINEZ IRRAZABAL | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 1,554 | 30.5% | 4 | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · LUIS HERMINIO ENCISO GARCIA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 764 | 15% | 2 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · JUAN DE DIOS MOREL LEGUIZAMON | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 311 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL | PENparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 270 | 5.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=34.61635220125786, oldest_gap=12.58343148802513, previous_gap=19.036267665588284
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility25.13percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.25157232704402,14.50314465408805,4.352201257861635,0,0,9.245283018867925,21.647798742138367],[46.77336965775583,15.579771837221182,8.411374084794824,0,1.4983824280606164,27.737101992167545,0],[43.08990969768355,30.50647820965842,5.30035335689046,0,14.998036906164115,0,6.105221829603455]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility34.53percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.25157232704402,14.50314465408805,4.352201257861635,0,0,9.245283018867925,21.647798742138367],[46.77336965775583,15.579771837221182,8.411374084794824,0,1.4983824280606164,27.737101992167545,0],[43.08990969768355,30.50647820965842,5.30035335689046,0,14.998036906164115,0,6.105221829603455]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility29.83percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.25157232704402,14.50314465408805,4.352201257861635,0,0,9.245283018867925,21.647798742138367],[46.77336965775583,15.579771837221182,8.411374084794824,0,1.4983824280606164,27.737101992167545,0],[43.08990969768355,30.50647820965842,5.30035335689046,0,14.998036906164115,0,6.105221829603455]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “NATALIO / ITAPUA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-07-037-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.