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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

YHU / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · YHU / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-037-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
YHU / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d57f6d979fb1870a02850ed6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO59.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO19.0%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE YHU CAMBIA17.7%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA1.3%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS0.9%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR0.8%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.5%
Results for event-5349d1eeead7a55575d19281
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARTURO REY JARA ESPINOZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,03259.9%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GLORIA LIZ CASCO DE MIÑOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,91419%2Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE YHU CAMBIA · CALIXTO ANTONIO SANABRIA GOMEZMIYHUCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,78217.7%2Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211321.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOSPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021880.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULARPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021780.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · NESTOR RAFAEL MENDOZA GOMEZPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021520.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO53.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PUEBLO YHUENSE46.3%
Results for event-3bf5d419d81bfaa4d08d5b99
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARTURO REY JARA ESPINOZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,61553.7%6Recorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PUEBLO YHUENSE · FRANCISCO BENICIO SALMENA ESPINOZAAPPYparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,97346.3%6Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO39.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO30.4%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA24.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL2.7%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.5%
Results for event-e3462f6f047c255c16a855d1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ARTURO REY JARA ESPINOZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,73939.5%4Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FRANCISCO BENICIO SALMENA ESPINOZAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,11330.4%3Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · SILVIO MERELES RUIZPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,70624.6%2Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · AGRIPINO ARCE CARDOZOM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101902.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CIGFRIDO NOTARIO MARTINEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101582.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010360.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=40.8612820003969, oldest_gap=9.01757418611351, previous_gap=7.4755472752678145

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[59.85314546537011,18.99186346497321,0,0,0,0,21.154991069656674],[53.73777363763391,0,0,0,0,0,46.26222636236609],[39.45548833189282,30.437914145779313,0,0,2.2760011524056467,0,27.830596369922212]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[59.85314546537011,18.99186346497321,0,0,0,0,21.154991069656674],[53.73777363763391,0,0,0,0,0,46.26222636236609],[39.45548833189282,30.437914145779313,0,0,2.2760011524056467,0,27.830596369922212]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[59.85314546537011,18.99186346497321,0,0,0,0,21.154991069656674],[53.73777363763391,0,0,0,0,0,46.26222636236609],[39.45548833189282,30.437914145779313,0,0,2.2760011524056467,0,27.830596369922212]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “YHU / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-037-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.