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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-011-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-6bad4df329fd66ee91e818ae
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO29.3%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS6.5%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2.6%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR1.9%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO0.7%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU0.3%
Results for event-ca14e19d578a1f57225b6f42
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS MEDINA DOMINGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,59757.1%8Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EULALIO RAMON MOREL SANTACRUZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,87129.3%4Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · OSCAR AGUSTIN SERVIN GONZALEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216406.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212512.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULARPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211901.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA · RICARDO MARTINEZ PATKAUPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211511.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021710.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021300.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA POR UN NUEVO PASTOREO43.2%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO40.0%
  • PARTIDO UNACE8.2%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS5.2%
  • PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHU1.9%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.5%
Results for event-5ec1becc51bf0d3f8ef25733
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR UN NUEVO PASTOREO · JUAN MARCIAL FLECHA SEITZPUNPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,32343.2%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS MEDINA DOMINGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,07440%5Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20156318.2%1Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154005.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PARAGUAY TEKOPYAHUPTPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151481.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151121.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO46.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO37.0%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS7.0%
  • FRENTE GUASU5.6%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL1.9%
Results for event-20df7f25d64182714a860509
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ORLANDO JUAN ANTONIO AQUINO RIVEROSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,86646.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CRISTINO RAMON GAONA ACOSTAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,29037%4Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · HECTOR ARIEL CESPEDES LOMBARDOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104367%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE GUASU · BARCILICIO RUIZ MARTINEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103475.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL · JUAN FELIX ROMERO LOVERAPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101352.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · NELSON RAMON CRISTALDO ACOSTAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101171.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

7.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.813488419549024, oldest_gap=9.303828137619128, previous_gap=3.238813735691984

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[57.10641771247832,29.292929292929294,2.560963167023773,1.540659116416692,6.529945923885318,0.3060912151821243,2.6629935720844813],[39.9843912591051,0,1.45681581685744,0,8.207596253902185,0,50.35119667013527],[46.29300597641738,36.989177838798255,2.1805847197544823,0,7.042481020836698,5.604910353739299,1.8898400904538846]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[57.10641771247832,29.292929292929294,2.560963167023773,1.540659116416692,6.529945923885318,0.3060912151821243,2.6629935720844813],[39.9843912591051,0,1.45681581685744,0,8.207596253902185,0,50.35119667013527],[46.29300597641738,36.989177838798255,2.1805847197544823,0,7.042481020836698,5.604910353739299,1.8898400904538846]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.5percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[57.10641771247832,29.292929292929294,2.560963167023773,1.540659116416692,6.529945923885318,0.3060912151821243,2.6629935720844813],[39.9843912591051,0,1.45681581685744,0,8.207596253902185,0,50.35119667013527],[46.29300597641738,36.989177838798255,2.1805847197544823,0,7.042481020836698,5.604910353739299,1.8898400904538846]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “DR. JUAN M. FRUTOS / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-011-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.