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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · MayorPY-05-003-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-70934697cb61ceeb8fc3a293
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO52.6%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.7%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS1.1%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.7%
Results for event-de5d9f1f40dc2c5790a6ce2a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · SEVERO JOSE RIOS NUÑEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202121,94752.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUCAS GUILLERMO ESCOBAR ORTIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202119,07145.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CARLOS ALFIERI LOPEZ BOGADOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20214641.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · GLADYS LUCIA MENDOZA DE ESPARZAPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212800.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2018-02-18

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Liberal Radical Auténticounknown
Results for event-75cf5359c3fecf6cb87ee059
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido Liberal Radical Auténtico · SEVERO JOSE RIOS NUÑEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2018UnknownUnknown1Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO48.1%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU11.9%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS1.2%
Results for event-9e4430e43ade18c3beeac7af
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALEJO RIOS MEDINAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201514,86848.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · AMADO BENJAZMIN ALVARENGA PORTILLOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201512,00338.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · RAMON GARCIA SEGOVIAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153,66511.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · DOMINGO CATALINO TORRESCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153581.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2010-11-07 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.886643359992341, oldest_gap=9.273645368032625, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.66591638331497,52.55255974330731,0,0,1.1110578995258849,0,0.670465973851827],null,[38.8522043115168,48.125849679549425,0,0,0,11.863144947238945,1.1588010616948274]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.66591638331497,52.55255974330731,0,0,1.1110578995258849,0,0.670465973851827],null,[38.8522043115168,48.125849679549425,0,0,0,11.863144947238945,1.1588010616948274]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.66591638331497,52.55255974330731,0,0,1.1110578995258849,0,0.670465973851827],null,[38.8522043115168,48.125849679549425,0,0,0,11.863144947238945,1.1588010616948274]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-003-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.