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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council

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CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council
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Paraguay · CAAGUAZU

CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 96.4/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 17.3 points; earlier interval 9.8 points; two-interval mean 13.5 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOSEVERO JOSE RIOS NUÑEZ18,70744.89%6
PARTIDO COLORADOLUCAS GUILLERMO ESCOBAR ORTIZ18,62244.68%6
ALIANZA CAAGUAZU PARA TODOS1,3713.29%0
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1,0632.55%0
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSCARLOS ALFIERI LOPEZ BOGADO9412.26%0
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR CAAGUAZU6971.67%0
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONALGLADYS LUCIA MENDOZA DE ESPARZA2750.66%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOALEJO RIOS MEDINA10,95636.43%6
PARTIDO COLORADOAMADO BENJAZMIN ALVARENGA PORTILLO10,79135.88%5
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASURAMON GARCIA SEGOVIA2,4818.25%1
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA A1,1783.92%0
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSDOMINGO CATALINO TORRES9463.15%0
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO9173.05%0
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS8832.94%0
PARTIDO UNACE7462.48%0
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA5971.99%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL5771.92%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOJORGE ADALBERTO DOS SANTOS CACERES7,63834.94%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOALEJO RIOS MEDINA6,69130.61%5
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSJUAN AURELIO PICCO2,41511.05%1
ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU1,1495.26%0
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJAABEL RECALDE ORTIZ1,0704.89%0
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILFABIAN RODRIGUEZ FERREIRA8123.71%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL6943.17%0
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA6793.11%0
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE CAAGUACEÑOSERVELION FLORENTIN GONZALEZ3151.44%0
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO2351.07%0
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOEUGENIO CRISTALDO VERA1630.75%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAJORGE ADALBERTO DOS SANTOS CACERES7,63443.44%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICODIONISIO GONZALEZ SOSA5,93633.78%4
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSDANIEL RAMON LEIVA RIOS2,29413.05%1
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1,2857.31%1
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAVICTOR DOMINGO GIMENEZ GIMENEZ4232.41%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAOVIDIO ESTEBAN AMARILLA JARA7,64949.33%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOCARLOS ADALBERTO CUEVAS7,08845.71%6
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALMARIA CRISTINA INVERNIZZI DE SANTOS6564.23%0
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA1130.73%0

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANA11,65047.42%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO9,05036.84%5
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2,88411.74%1
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA5332.17%0
MOVIMIENTO AMPLIO DE INTEGRACIÓN Y SOLIDARIDAD4521.84%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-05-003-C.