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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU · municipal · Municipal councilPY-05-003-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b87995814ce147b434f2efc4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO44.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO44.7%
  • ALIANZA CAAGUAZU PARA TODOS3.3%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.6%
  • PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.3%
  • ALIANZA JUNTOS POR CAAGUAZU1.7%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL0.7%
Results for event-43897877ddd7a1bcb9bae50d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · SEVERO JOSE RIOS NUÑEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202118,70744.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUCAS GUILLERMO ESCOBAR ORTIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202118,62244.7%6Recorded
ALIANZA CAAGUAZU PARA TODOSCTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,3713.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,0632.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · CARLOS ALFIERI LOPEZ BOGADOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20219412.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR CAAGUAZUJPCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216971.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL · GLADYS LUCIA MENDOZA DE ESPARZAPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212750.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.4%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO35.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU8.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA A3.9%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS3.1%
  • PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIO3.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROS2.9%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA2.0%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.9%
Results for event-cc99f8af8c1b599f618f6685
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALEJO RIOS MEDINAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201510,95636.4%6Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · AMADO BENJAZMIN ALVARENGA PORTILLOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201510,79135.9%5Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · RAMON GARCIA SEGOVIAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152,4818.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA AMDAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,1783.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · DOMINGO CATALINO TORRESCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159463.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PAIS SOLIDARIOPPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159173%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA DEMOCRATICO HEREDEROSPSDHparaguay/S82789e1ede/20158832.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20157462.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155972%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155771.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO34.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO30.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS11.0%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU5.3%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL3.7%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL3.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE CAAGUACEÑO1.4%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIO1.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO0.7%
Results for event-aa19d7e75b5b8e7aad41a9a3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · JORGE ADALBERTO DOS SANTOS CACERESANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20107,63834.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALEJO RIOS MEDINAPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106,69130.6%5Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JUAN AURELIO PICCOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,41511%1Recorded
ALIANZA FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,1495.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · ABEL RECALDE ORTIZPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,0704.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · FABIAN RODRIGUEZ FERREIRAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20108123.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106943.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106793.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE CAAGUACEÑO · SERVELION FLORENTIN GONZALEZMICAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103151.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO FRENTE AMPLIOPFAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102351.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · EUGENIO CRISTALDO VERAPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101630.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

96.40–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.20395431423361288, oldest_gap=4.33191528292393, previous_gap=0.5486831604150026

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[44.68279105480372,44.886745369037335,0,0,2.257894231692101,2.5506286591803438,5.621940685286496],[35.88387869114126,36.432561851556265,1.9187283852088322,0,2.4807129555732907,8.250199521149241,15.03391859537111],[34.938932345272406,30.607017062348476,3.1746031746031744,0,11.047070124879923,5.255935227116783,14.97644206577924]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[44.68279105480372,44.886745369037335,0,0,2.257894231692101,2.5506286591803438,5.621940685286496],[35.88387869114126,36.432561851556265,1.9187283852088322,0,2.4807129555732907,8.250199521149241,15.03391859537111],[34.938932345272406,30.607017062348476,3.1746031746031744,0,11.047070124879923,5.255935227116783,14.97644206577924]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[44.68279105480372,44.886745369037335,0,0,2.257894231692101,2.5506286591803438,5.621940685286496],[35.88387869114126,36.432561851556265,1.9187283852088322,0,2.4807129555732907,8.250199521149241,15.03391859537111],[34.938932345272406,30.607017062348476,3.1746031746031744,0,11.047070124879923,5.255935227116783,14.97644206577924]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAAGUAZU / CAAGUAZU — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-05-003-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.