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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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INDEPENDENCIA / GUAIRA — Mayor

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INDEPENDENCIA / GUAIRA — Mayor
Latin America register

Paraguay · GUAIRA

INDEPENDENCIA / GUAIRA — Mayor

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 0.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 47.4 points; earlier interval 12.9 points; two-interval mean 30.1 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOJOSE ANTONIO RESQUIN ACOSTA5,73560.84%1
ALIANZA INDEPENDENCIA PYAHUNELSON BENITEZ LOPEZ2,91830.95%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALEVA MAGDALENA CRISTALDO RESQUIN7227.66%0
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUROSA ELENA SANTA CRUZ ADORNO520.55%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOFRANCISCO ARNALDO CHAVEZ GONZALEZ3,44151.76%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOVICTOR MANUEL FONSECA LEGAL2,36235.53%0
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUMARCOS MIGUEL DOLDAN VAZQUEZ78311.78%0
PARTIDO UNACEROBERTO MANUEL CUBAS CACERES410.62%0
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO DE LA ARUBEN BARRETO GONZALEZ210.32%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOJOSE ELIGIO CHAVEZ SILVERO3,51852.47%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOARIEL PERFECTO FONSECA LEGAL2,31034.45%0
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSERWIN VOGEL TILLMANN6599.83%0
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILNIMIA BEATRIZ GONZALEZ DE OVIEDO2183.25%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAJOSE ELIGIO CHAVEZ SILVERO3,60658.33%1
ALIANZA PEN-UNACEWILFRIDO METZINGER SCHEBELLA2,06133.34%0
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICONANCY MERELES COLMAN5158.33%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALNICOLAS ORTIGOZA BRITEZ2,56448.68%1
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAERI RAMON PERALTA CRISTALDO2,18741.52%0
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOEUGENIO RUBEN AREVALO MIRANDA4328.20%0
MOV.FUERZA DEMOC.INDEPENDIENTEJUAN CARLOS OVIEDO BOGADO841.59%0

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANAPABLO ALIDER PERALTA CRISTALDO3,08655.31%1
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO1,79832.23%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL69512.46%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-04-013-M.