Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Source publication

VILLARRICA / GUAIRA — Municipal council

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

Back to structured office record

VILLARRICA / GUAIRA — Municipal council
Latin America register

Paraguay · GUAIRA

VILLARRICA / GUAIRA — Municipal council

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 55.7/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 11.5 points; earlier interval 16.6 points; two-interval mean 14.0 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOGUSTAVO ALCIDES NAVARRO ARZA13,32145.45%7
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOMAGIN BENITEZ BENITEZ10,94537.34%5
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1,5005.12%0
MOV INDEP JOVENES POR EL CAMBIOANIBAL RAMON BOGADO LOPEZ1,2364.22%0
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA9713.31%0
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA6922.36%0
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASULUIS ARSENIO MUSSI FERNANDEZ3061.04%0
MOV INDEPENDIENTE LIBRE2170.74%0
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS1230.42%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOGUSTAVO ALCIDES NAVARRO ARZA11,83049.03%7
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOALBERTO GUIDO GIRALA VELAZQUEZ9,41439.02%5
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCARLOS ALFREDO CABALLERO1,2155.04%0
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA7763.22%0
PARTIDO UNACE5392.23%0
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL3521.46%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADODARIO ANDRES ORTELLADO ZORRILLA8,71343.89%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOFERNANDO SIRO COLMAN RUGGERO6,76234.07%5
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSMILCIADES ANDRES GOMEZ MARZAL1,4957.53%1
ALIANZA VILLARRICA UNIDAREGINA JACINTA GUEX DE RAMIREZ1,2536.31%0
ALIANZA POR LA RENOVACION VILLARRIQUEÑAOSCAR RAMON REYES LUNA8514.29%0
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRILJORGE MANUEL CAZAL ORTIZ4132.08%0
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA3631.83%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAGUSTAVO ALCIDES NAVARRO ARZA9,02047.10%6
ALIANZA PLRA-UNACECHRISTIAN FEDERICO GUILLERMO ALDERETE GUGGIARI8,37043.70%6
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1,0665.57%0
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA4742.47%0
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO2221.16%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANARUBEN ORLANDO FANEGO MUSSI6,10341.65%6
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOCHRISTIAN FEDERICO GUILLERMO ALDERETE GUGGIARI5,78239.46%5
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALCARLOS AUGUSTO GONZALEZ LEIBSON1,61711.04%1
MOV.PROGRE.DEL GUAIRAPEDRO RUBEN CACERES4362.98%0
PAIS SOLIDARIO3902.66%0
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA3252.22%0

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO - PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL - PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA8,74050.79%6
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANA8,46849.21%6

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-04-000-C.