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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILLARRICA / GUAIRA — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · VILLARRICA / GUAIRA / GUAIRA · municipal · Municipal councilPY-04-000-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLARRICA / GUAIRA / GUAIRA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-f72065ed7831a996a370bcf9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO45.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO37.3%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL5.1%
  • MOV INDEP JOVENES POR EL CAMBIO4.2%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA3.3%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA2.4%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1.0%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE LIBRE0.7%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS0.4%
Results for event-6a220382eb8306ed60f5cd1b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GUSTAVO ALCIDES NAVARRO ARZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202113,32145.4%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MAGIN BENITEZ BENITEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202110,94537.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,5005.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEP JOVENES POR EL CAMBIO · ANIBAL RAMON BOGADO LOPEZMIJCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,2364.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20219713.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216922.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · LUIS ARSENIO MUSSI FERNANDEZCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20213061%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE LIBREMILparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212170.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOSPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211230.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO39.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU5.0%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA3.2%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.2%
  • PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL1.5%
Results for event-099981c36dec627b509918fe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · GUSTAVO ALCIDES NAVARRO ARZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201511,83049%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ALBERTO GUIDO GIRALA VELAZQUEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20159,41439%5Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · CARLOS ALFREDO CABALLEROFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,2155%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20157763.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACEUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155392.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONALPENparaguay/S82789e1ede/20153521.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO43.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.1%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS7.5%
  • ALIANZA VILLARRICA UNIDA6.3%
  • ALIANZA POR LA RENOVACION VILLARRIQUEÑA4.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL2.1%
  • PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTA1.8%
Results for event-aceb50a3300d08b2e9b6e754
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · DARIO ANDRES ORTELLADO ZORRILLAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20108,71343.9%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FERNANDO SIRO COLMAN RUGGEROPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20106,76234.1%5Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · MILCIADES ANDRES GOMEZ MARZALUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,4957.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA VILLARRICA UNIDA · REGINA JACINTA GUEX DE RAMIREZAVUparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,2536.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR LA RENOVACION VILLARRIQUEÑA · OSCAR RAMON REYES LUNAARVparaguay/S82789e1ede/20108514.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · JORGE MANUEL CAZAL ORTIZM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104132.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO FEBRERISTAPRFparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103631.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

55.750–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.106171744396299, oldest_gap=9.82871536523929, previous_gap=10.014092680096162

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.4471017706663,37.34093002627,5.1175326669168575,3.312749479717512,0,1.0439766640510388,7.737709392378287],[49.034236922821854,39.02014424272569,1.4590068805438117,0,2.2341042858327116,5.036060681422532,3.216446986653403],[43.89420654911839,34.0654911838791,0,0,7.531486146095718,0,14.5088161209068]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.4471017706663,37.34093002627,5.1175326669168575,3.312749479717512,0,1.0439766640510388,7.737709392378287],[49.034236922821854,39.02014424272569,1.4590068805438117,0,2.2341042858327116,5.036060681422532,3.216446986653403],[43.89420654911839,34.0654911838791,0,0,7.531486146095718,0,14.5088161209068]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.4471017706663,37.34093002627,5.1175326669168575,3.312749479717512,0,1.0439766640510388,7.737709392378287],[49.034236922821854,39.02014424272569,1.4590068805438117,0,2.2341042858327116,5.036060681422532,3.216446986653403],[43.89420654911839,34.0654911838791,0,0,7.531486146095718,0,14.5088161209068]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLARRICA / GUAIRA — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-04-000-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.