Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Source publication

SAN ESTANISLAO / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

Back to structured office record

SAN ESTANISLAO / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council
Latin America register

Paraguay · SAN PEDRO

SAN ESTANISLAO / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council

526 current mayor/council offices. Named-geography mapping repairs changing historical district codes; original labels retained. Distinct source list numbers fix three acronym-collision vote discrepancies. Numeric totals reconcile, but boundary changes, intervening events and current control are not certified country-wide; the blanket CI clearance is removed.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records6
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 0.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 29.2 points; earlier interval 21.9 points; two-interval mean 25.5 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2021-10-10 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOAGUSTIN OVANDO ESPINOLA13,08869.41%10
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO2,53613.45%2
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU1,1556.13%0
MOV OÑONDIVEPA SANTANI5072.69%0
MOV NDEVE GUARA SANTANIJUAN RUBEN BAEZ JARA4332.30%0
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA4182.22%0
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL2421.28%0
PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADA2121.12%0
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR1750.93%0
PARTIDO HAGAMOS900.48%0

Result source · Seat source

2015-11-15 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOAGUSTIN OVANDO ESPINOLA5,63747.77%7
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOARTURO ARIEL FRANCO SOUZA2,84724.13%3
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUEMILIO RAMON FLEITAS ORTEGA1,29010.93%1
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA1,24110.52%1
PARTIDO UNACEFLORENCIO RAMIREZ6355.38%0
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS1501.27%0

Result source · Seat source

2010-11-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO COLORADOMEHDE JOSE SAFUAN JARA5,39846.71%7
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO2,61022.58%3
ALIANZA SANTANI JAIPOTAVAOSCAR DARIO CARBALLAR AREVALOS2,14418.55%2
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA5795.01%0
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA4003.46%0
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSJUAN MANUEL VILLALBA LARROZA2892.50%0
NDEVE GUARA SANTANIGILDO ROBERTO ARIAS PENAYO1371.19%0

Result source · Seat source

2006-11-19 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAANDRES RAFAEL JARA MELLO4,61163.92%9
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOJULIO CESAR RECALDE MACEDO1,49520.72%2
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAANDRES AVELINO INSFRAN VILLALBA72610.06%1
PARTIDO UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOSCLAUDIO TROCHE3825.30%0

Result source · Seat source

2001-11-18 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACION NACIONAL REPUBLICANAMARCOS RODRIGUEZ GARCETE3,20637.20%5
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOELIODORO MARIANO SALVADOR GARCIA FRANCO2,73631.75%4
M.NDEVE GUARA SANTANIADOLFO MARTINEZ ZAYA2,41928.07%3
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL2572.98%0

Result source · Seat source

1996-11-17 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected seats; identity joins reviewed, event/boundary certification open

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid votes; separate source list numbers are retained even when acronyms coincide

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ASOCIACIÓN NACIONAL REPUBLICANA6,20362.65%8
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO3,05730.88%4
PARTIDO ENCUENTRO NACIONAL6416.47%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PY-02-021-C.