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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · MayorPY-02-019-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-67dfacde38b50ece5741bab1
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO57.7%
  • ALIANZA POR NUEVA GERMANIA28.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO13.8%
Results for event-e71ec1aa3efac9a5c94f40d5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ALICIA GONZALEZ DE SAIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,07857.7%1Recorded
ALIANZA POR NUEVA GERMANIA · NERY STERN CALDERONANGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,02728.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · GERARDO RAFAEL SAIZ SILVERAPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/202149713.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO68.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO31.2%
Results for event-12cc4dfd50bf9d06640f5ba1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ALICIA GONZALEZ DE SAIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,82268.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · GASPAR STERN CALDERONPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201582631.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-10-21

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • Partido Coloradounknown
Results for event-ae1bddf1a6ec1c31f63b4884
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Partido Colorado · ALICIA GONZALEZ DE SAIZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2012UnknownUnknown1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2010-11-07 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.17823431426985, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=37.61329305135951

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[57.69017212659634,0,0,0,0,0,42.30982787340366],[68.80664652567975,31.19335347432024,0,0,0,0,0],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[57.69017212659634,0,0,0,0,0,42.30982787340366],[68.80664652567975,31.19335347432024,0,0,0,0,0],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[57.69017212659634,0,0,0,0,0,42.30982787340366],[68.80664652567975,31.19335347432024,0,0,0,0,0],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “NUEVA GERMANIA / SAN PEDRO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-019-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.