Office briefing
GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Paraguay · GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · MayorPY-02-013-M
Read the complete original research briefing
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-c3154a091fe7eacf4b83a256
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2021-10-10
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- ALIANZA GOBERNEMOS JUNTOS GUAJAYVI50.0%
- PARTIDO COLORADO50.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA GOBERNEMOS JUNTOS GUAJAYVI · ALVARO ARIEL SALDIVAR DENIS | AGJGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 6,661 | 50% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OSVALDO GARCIA AREVALOS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021 | 6,651 | 50% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-11-15
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO COLORADO50.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO46.4%
- CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU2.7%
- PARTIDO UNACE0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO COLORADO · OSVALDO GARCIA AREVALOS | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 4,929 | 50.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EVER HUGO AGUAYO LOPEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 4,507 | 46.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JUAN CARLOS FRANCO GAUTO | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 266 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO UNACE · CATALINO VERA CARDOZO | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015 | 11 | 0.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2010-11-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.1%
- PARTIDO COLORADO41.0%
- PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA10.7%
- CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU3.9%
- UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS2.6%
- MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EVER HUGO AGUAYO LOPEZ | PLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 3,085 | 41.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ISIDRO BAEZ RODRIGUEZ | ANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 3,079 | 41% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · SAMUEL AUGUSTO SAMUDIO | PPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 800 | 10.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU · ALSI BARRIOS PALACIOS | FGparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 293 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GERARDO CATALINO BOGADO HERRERA | UNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 198 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · ZOILO GONZALEZ LARROZA | M20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010 | 47 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
- 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI93.220–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.0751201923076934, oldest_gap=0.07997867235403788, previous_gap=4.344692679913514
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility50.04percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.96243990384615,0,0,0,0,0,50.03756009615385],[50.746422320601255,46.40172964068774,0,0,0.11325028312570781,2.738597755585298,0],[41.04238869634764,41.12236736870168,0,0,2.6392961876832843,3.905625166622234,11.290322580645162]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility14.98percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.96243990384615,0,0,0,0,0,50.03756009615385],[50.746422320601255,46.40172964068774,0,0,0.11325028312570781,2.738597755585298,0],[41.04238869634764,41.12236736870168,0,0,2.6392961876832843,3.905625166622234,11.290322580645162]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility32.51percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.96243990384615,0,0,0,0,0,50.03756009615385],[50.746422320601255,46.40172964068774,0,0,0.11325028312570781,2.738597755585298,0],[41.04238869634764,41.12236736870168,0,0,2.6392961876832843,3.905625166622234,11.290322580645162]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.
Sources
- Paraguay: https://www.datos.gov.py/sites/default/files/Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Resultados-1996-a-2023-municipales-y-generales-por-distrito.csv · rights unknown
- Paraguay: Electos-dhont-1996-a-2025-munic-gene-complem-votospreferentes-251125.csv · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-013-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.