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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LIMA / LIMA / SANTIAGO DE SURCO — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · LIMA / LIMA / SANTIAGO DE SURCO / LIMA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-9233f8366c44b7

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LIMA / LIMA / SANTIAGO DE SURCO / LIMA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-660bee9be779cbfc8b03c7f3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL40.0%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR16.9%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU15.2%
  • PODEMOS PERU11.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO8.2%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20214.4%
  • PARTIDO MORADO2.4%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE1.1%
Results for event-e7840affd1c36c3ae1eba905
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sc91a28be23/202290,30840%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/202238,16116.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/202234,36415.2%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/202226,83511.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/202218,4448.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/Sc91a28be23/20229,9054.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO MORADOperu/Sc91a28be23/20225,3642.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,5251.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ACCION POPULAR25.8%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC14.6%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL9.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU9.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA6.3%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL6.3%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU6.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR5.3%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA3.2%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL2.8%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.5%
  • UNION POR EL PERU2.3%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1.8%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO1.6%
  • VAMOS PERU1.4%
  • PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIO0.8%
  • PERU NACION0.7%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU0.3%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.0%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.0%
Results for event-5781137562702d135dc6125a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/201859,86225.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S3a6d07677a/201833,89914.6%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/201821,4969.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/201821,0009%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/201814,7276.3%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/201814,5266.3%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/201813,8346%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/201812,3185.3%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20187,3753.2%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20186,4092.8%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S3a6d07677a/20185,9162.5%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20185,4462.3%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,0871.8%UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,6351.6%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,1661.4%UnknownRecorded
PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,9630.8%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,7240.7%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20187830.3%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU34.4%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL21.9%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC10.3%
  • FUERZA POPULAR8.6%
  • VAMOS PERU5.5%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO4.8%
  • DIALOGO VECINAL3.2%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA3.0%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL1.5%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1.3%
  • CORAZON SURCANO1.3%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1.3%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO0.5%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS0.5%
Results for event-d935a54348303d11f48416dd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201473,58934.4%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201446,81821.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201421,99810.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201418,4758.6%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201411,7915.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201410,2644.8%UnknownRecorded
DIALOGO VECINALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20146,8533.2%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20146,3473%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20144,3572%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143,2581.5%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,8271.3%UnknownRecorded
CORAZON SURCANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,7971.3%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,7461.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,0460.5%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,0060.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

7.730–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.083494904960475, oldest_gap=12.499766542778701, previous_gap=11.18294668469974

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[8.164457783325808,15.211636698449798,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.6239055182244],[1.7603783499737258,9.04525210409793,25.784137212167156,5.305686448489443,0,14.601190527467416,2.3457353789960633,0,41.15761997880826],[1.2821470593728406,34.35976691631026,2.0343462263974748,8.626244326989523,4.7924098388211345,10.27118390826065,0,0,38.633901723848126]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[8.164457783325808,15.211636698449798,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.6239055182244],[1.7603783499737258,9.04525210409793,25.784137212167156,5.305686448489443,0,14.601190527467416,2.3457353789960633,0,41.15761997880826],[1.2821470593728406,34.35976691631026,2.0343462263974748,8.626244326989523,4.7924098388211345,10.27118390826065,0,0,38.633901723848126]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[8.164457783325808,15.211636698449798,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.6239055182244],[1.7603783499737258,9.04525210409793,25.784137212167156,5.305686448489443,0,14.601190527467416,2.3457353789960633,0,41.15761997880826],[1.2821470593728406,34.35976691631026,2.0343462263974748,8.626244326989523,4.7924098388211345,10.27118390826065,0,0,38.633901723848126]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

  • CPI

    vote intention · fieldwork 2026-08-14–2026-08-19

    Poll snapshot; no calibrated win probability or automatic incumbent-defeat flag

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LIMA / LIMA / SANTIAGO DE SURCO — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-9233f8366c44b7. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53, peru--url-defad4027d072808a29ca751.