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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TUMBES / TUMBES — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · TUMBES / TUMBES / TUMBES · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-5cf29b7bc48945

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TUMBES / TUMBES / TUMBES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-7854f8388ae0f8c7bff01fd4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONAL37.3%
  • RENOVACION TUMBESINA15.8%
  • FUERZA POPULAR14.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU10.9%
  • PARTIDO PATRIOTICO DEL PERU6.4%
  • UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICA6.3%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU5.0%
  • PARTIDO MORADO3.6%
Results for event-04837750e49385ef5051f823
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONALperu/S3bc179da18/202225,56237.3%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION TUMBESINAperu/S3bc179da18/202210,83215.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/202210,13614.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20227,47510.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO PATRIOTICO DEL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20224,3566.4%UnknownRecorded
UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICAperu/S3bc179da18/20224,2866.3%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20223,4385%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO MORADOperu/S3bc179da18/20222,4533.6%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • RENOVACION TUMBESINA29.3%
  • UNION POR EL PERU21.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO12.8%
  • RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLO7.9%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU7.1%
  • FUERZA POPULAR4.8%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBES2.9%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU2.3%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA1.9%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU1.2%
  • VAMOS PERU1.1%
  • PERU NACION0.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR0.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL0.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.0%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL0.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENA0.0%
Results for event-3cc8d46012741cb86f111b4f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RENOVACION TUMBESINAperu/Sbbedb7d378/201821,40229.3%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/201815,82021.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20189,36512.8%UnknownRecorded
RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,7447.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,1497.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,5424.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,7353.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBESperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,1002.9%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,8582.5%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,7012.3%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,3861.9%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188981.2%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188371.1%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184950.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO30.8%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC29.9%
  • RENOVACION TUMBESINA12.9%
  • SUMATE AL CAMBIO8.7%
  • UNION POR EL PERU6.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU3.7%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.1%
  • FUERZA TUMBESINA 20101.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.6%
  • PARTICIPACION TUMBESINA0.8%
  • NUEVA ALTERNATIVA0.7%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO0.6%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.3%
Results for event-7e2e8fea0e8635527903366d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201423,19330.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201422,46629.9%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION TUMBESINAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20149,71412.9%UnknownRecorded
SUMATE AL CAMBIOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146,5418.7%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,6666.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,7843.7%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,5552.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA TUMBESINA 2010peru/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,2631.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,2321.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTICIPACION TUMBESINAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146160.8%UnknownRecorded
NUEVA ALTERNATIVAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145400.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144350.6%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142450.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

23.580–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.491727217018298, oldest_gap=0.9661129568106297, previous_gap=7.64322488772045

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,10.906358516443433,0,14.788876243835537,0,0,0,0,74.30476523972104],[12.82314601818381,7.050334100120495,0,4.849928798334976,0,3.7449337276810164,21.661737320626575,0,49.86992003505311],[30.82126245847176,3.699667774086379,1.6372093023255814,0,0,29.85514950166113,6.200664451827243,0,27.786046511627905]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,10.906358516443433,0,14.788876243835537,0,0,0,0,74.30476523972104],[12.82314601818381,7.050334100120495,0,4.849928798334976,0,3.7449337276810164,21.661737320626575,0,49.86992003505311],[30.82126245847176,3.699667774086379,1.6372093023255814,0,0,29.85514950166113,6.200664451827243,0,27.786046511627905]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,10.906358516443433,0,14.788876243835537,0,0,0,0,74.30476523972104],[12.82314601818381,7.050334100120495,0,4.849928798334976,0,3.7449337276810164,21.661737320626575,0,49.86992003505311],[30.82126245847176,3.699667774086379,1.6372093023255814,0,0,29.85514950166113,6.200664451827243,0,27.786046511627905]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TUMBES / TUMBES — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-5cf29b7bc48945. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.