Office briefing
TUMBES / TUMBES — Provincial municipal ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Peru · TUMBES / TUMBES / TUMBES · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-5cf29b7bc48945
Read the complete original research briefing
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- TUMBES / TUMBES / TUMBES
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-7854f8388ae0f8c7bff01fd4
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2022-10-02
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONAL37.3%
- RENOVACION TUMBESINA15.8%
- FUERZA POPULAR14.8%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU10.9%
- PARTIDO PATRIOTICO DEL PERU6.4%
- UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICA6.3%
- JUNTOS POR EL PERU5.0%
- PARTIDO MORADO3.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONAL | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 25,562 | 37.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| RENOVACION TUMBESINA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 10,832 | 15.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA POPULAR | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 10,136 | 14.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 7,475 | 10.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO PATRIOTICO DEL PERU | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 4,356 | 6.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 4,286 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL PERU | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 3,438 | 5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MORADO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 2,453 | 3.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2018-10-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- RENOVACION TUMBESINA29.3%
- UNION POR EL PERU21.7%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO12.8%
- RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLO7.9%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU7.1%
- FUERZA POPULAR4.8%
- PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC3.7%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBES2.9%
- SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.5%
- JUNTOS POR EL PERU2.3%
- PERU PATRIA SEGURA1.9%
- PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU1.2%
- VAMOS PERU1.1%
- PERU NACION0.7%
- ACCION POPULAR0.0%
- AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL0.0%
- DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.0%
- SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL0.0%
- RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENA0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RENOVACION TUMBESINA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 21,402 | 29.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION POR EL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 15,820 | 21.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 9,365 | 12.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 5,744 | 7.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 5,149 | 7.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA POPULAR | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 3,542 | 4.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 2,735 | 3.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBES | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 2,100 | 2.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| SIEMPRE UNIDOS | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,858 | 2.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,701 | 2.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PERU PATRIA SEGURA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,386 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 898 | 1.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| VAMOS PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 837 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PERU NACION | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 495 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| RESTAURACION NACIONAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
2014-10-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO30.8%
- PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC29.9%
- RENOVACION TUMBESINA12.9%
- SUMATE AL CAMBIO8.7%
- UNION POR EL PERU6.2%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU3.7%
- RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.1%
- FUERZA TUMBESINA 20101.7%
- ACCION POPULAR1.6%
- PARTICIPACION TUMBESINA0.8%
- NUEVA ALTERNATIVA0.7%
- PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO0.6%
- EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 23,193 | 30.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 22,466 | 29.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| RENOVACION TUMBESINA | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 9,714 | 12.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| SUMATE AL CAMBIO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 6,541 | 8.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION POR EL PERU | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 4,666 | 6.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 2,784 | 3.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| RESTAURACION NACIONAL | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,555 | 2.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA TUMBESINA 2010 | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,263 | 1.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,232 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTICIPACION TUMBESINA | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 616 | 0.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| NUEVA ALTERNATIVA | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 540 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 435 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 245 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI23.580–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.491727217018298, oldest_gap=0.9661129568106297, previous_gap=7.64322488772045
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility38.23percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,10.906358516443433,0,14.788876243835537,0,0,0,0,74.30476523972104],[12.82314601818381,7.050334100120495,0,4.849928798334976,0,3.7449337276810164,21.661737320626575,0,49.86992003505311],[30.82126245847176,3.699667774086379,1.6372093023255814,0,0,29.85514950166113,6.200664451827243,0,27.786046511627905]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility45.75percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,10.906358516443433,0,14.788876243835537,0,0,0,0,74.30476523972104],[12.82314601818381,7.050334100120495,0,4.849928798334976,0,3.7449337276810164,21.661737320626575,0,49.86992003505311],[30.82126245847176,3.699667774086379,1.6372093023255814,0,0,29.85514950166113,6.200664451827243,0,27.786046511627905]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility41.99percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,10.906358516443433,0,14.788876243835537,0,0,0,0,74.30476523972104],[12.82314601818381,7.050334100120495,0,4.849928798334976,0,3.7449337276810164,21.661737320626575,0,49.86992003505311],[30.82126245847176,3.699667774086379,1.6372093023255814,0,0,29.85514950166113,6.200664451827243,0,27.786046511627905]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}
other · open
2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.
other · open
Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.
other · open
Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}
other · open
Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.
other · open
Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.
Sources
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2022-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2018-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2014-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2022 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2018 - [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2014 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “TUMBES / TUMBES — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-5cf29b7bc48945. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.