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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TUMBES — Regional council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · TUMBES / TUMBES · regional · Regional councilPE-0ae1390c9692be

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TUMBES / TUMBES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-cb244672535bce6a25debd75
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO22.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONAL20.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL DIGNIDAD TUMBESINA13.1%
  • RENOVACION TUMBESINA11.6%
  • FUERZA POPULAR9.4%
  • UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICA6.8%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE5.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU4.2%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20214.0%
  • PARTIDO MORADO1.2%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1.1%
Results for event-ec73761abf33bc7f81370273
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sa818fce54b/202221,81722.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONALperu/Sa818fce54b/202219,73720.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL DIGNIDAD TUMBESINAperu/Sa818fce54b/202212,50313.1%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION TUMBESINAperu/Sa818fce54b/202211,05611.6%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sa818fce54b/20229,0339.4%UnknownRecorded
UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICAperu/Sa818fce54b/20226,5556.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sa818fce54b/20224,8505.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sa818fce54b/20224,0554.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/Sa818fce54b/20223,8654%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO MORADOperu/Sa818fce54b/20221,1961.2%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sa818fce54b/20221,0511.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENA23.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA12.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONAL9.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO8.8%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL7.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL DIGNIDAD TUMBESINA6.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU5.9%
  • RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLO5.8%
  • FUERZA POPULAR4.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBES3.9%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU2.2%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.0%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO1.8%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1.8%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP1.4%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU1.3%
  • PERU NACION1.0%
  • VAMOS PERU0.8%
Results for event-ecf15fa896ba41732500c563
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENAperu/S3bf32d4ffa/201820,06823%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3bf32d4ffa/201810,78812.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONALperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20188,6709.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20187,6828.8%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20186,6457.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL DIGNIDAD TUMBESINAperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20185,2806%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20185,1855.9%UnknownRecorded
RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLOperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20185,0465.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20183,8724.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBESperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20183,3653.9%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20181,9232.2%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20181,7442%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20181,5841.8%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20181,5381.8%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20181,2501.4%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20181,1271.3%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20188571%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3bf32d4ffa/20187200.8%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLO19.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBES12.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENA11.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO9.6%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL8.5%
  • UNION POR EL PERU7.9%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA7.3%
  • FUERZA POPULAR5.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO TUMBESINO PUEBLO UNIDO2.9%
  • PROGRESO, DIGNIDAD Y TRABAJO2.6%
  • YA ES LA HORA2.5%
  • VAMOS PERU1.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.6%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS1.5%
  • GANA TUMBES1.4%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA1.2%
  • PARTICIPACION TUMBESINA0.9%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION ECOLOGISTA TUMBESINO0.6%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.3%
Results for event-1709edd73448be54ec809d10
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RECONSTRUCCION CON OBRAS MAS OBRAS PARA UN TUMBES BELLOperu/Sb45e7b898e/201417,78819.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL YO SI AMO A TUMBESperu/Sb45e7b898e/201410,86312.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENAperu/Sb45e7b898e/201410,30411.5%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sb45e7b898e/20148,5819.6%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sb45e7b898e/20147,6688.5%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sb45e7b898e/20147,0817.9%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sb45e7b898e/20146,5587.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sb45e7b898e/20144,8915.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO TUMBESINO PUEBLO UNIDOperu/Sb45e7b898e/20142,5772.9%UnknownRecorded
PROGRESO, DIGNIDAD Y TRABAJOperu/Sb45e7b898e/20142,3392.6%UnknownRecorded
YA ES LA HORAperu/Sb45e7b898e/20142,2262.5%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sb45e7b898e/20141,5661.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sb45e7b898e/20141,4601.6%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sb45e7b898e/20141,3421.5%UnknownRecorded
GANA TUMBESperu/Sb45e7b898e/20141,2401.4%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sb45e7b898e/20141,0711.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTICIPACION TUMBESINAperu/Sb45e7b898e/20148200.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/Sb45e7b898e/20146110.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION ECOLOGISTA TUMBESINOperu/Sb45e7b898e/20145020.6%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sb45e7b898e/20142770.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

73.690–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.173050001044736, oldest_gap=7.714588091126831, previous_gap=10.624656530500092

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[22.79299609268894,4.236402766459809,0,9.437096470883219,0,0,0,0,63.53350466996803],[8.795108994321303,5.93629785675032,0,4.433046345484521,1.813518959516395,0,0,1.4311229162850339,77.59090492764246],[9.559405113351529,0,1.626469113797137,5.448671531220409,0,0,7.888375201916114,0,75.47707903971481]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[22.79299609268894,4.236402766459809,0,9.437096470883219,0,0,0,0,63.53350466996803],[8.795108994321303,5.93629785675032,0,4.433046345484521,1.813518959516395,0,0,1.4311229162850339,77.59090492764246],[9.559405113351529,0,1.626469113797137,5.448671531220409,0,0,7.888375201916114,0,75.47707903971481]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[22.79299609268894,4.236402766459809,0,9.437096470883219,0,0,0,0,63.53350466996803],[8.795108994321303,5.93629785675032,0,4.433046345484521,1.813518959516395,0,0,1.4311229162850339,77.59090492764246],[9.559405113351529,0,1.626469113797137,5.448671531220409,0,0,7.888375201916114,0,75.47707903971481]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TUMBES — Regional council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-0ae1390c9692be. Sources: peru--url-2957fba5979e436a2a4f87c0, peru--url-083e72d2ab7f8e5fa01473a4, peru--url-69ebe5a8edd5f0aa6ff57b92, peru--Sa818fce54b, peru--S3bf32d4ffa, peru--Sb45e7b898e.