Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CASTLETON — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · CASTLETON / ST MARY · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CASTLETON / ST MARY
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-85ba4f84df9254864114cc2f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP58.1%
  • PNP40.9%
Results for event-bd6d317c147bb86a41be4f2b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,12658.1%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/202479340.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP58.4%
  • PNP40.7%
Results for event-68be785ebffa7337b7080ecf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,29558.4%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/201690340.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP54.1%
  • PNP45.5%
Results for event-0ee2e3fceb1e82c9b9f7d401
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,13454.1%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/201295445.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

16.880–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.352787910369983, oldest_gap=8.620689655172413, previous_gap=17.834394904458605

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

0.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[58.67639395518499,41.32360604481501,0],[58.9171974522293,41.0828025477707,0],[54.310344827586206,45.689655172413794,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[58.67639395518499,41.32360604481501,0],[58.9171974522293,41.0828025477707,0],[54.310344827586206,45.689655172413794,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

2.42percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[58.67639395518499,41.32360604481501,0],[58.9171974522293,41.0828025477707,0],[54.310344827586206,45.689655172413794,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CASTLETON — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-ST-MARY-CASTLETON. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.