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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

WATERLOO — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · WATERLOO / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
WATERLOO / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-bc3eb5185b001c0600a74885
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP59.7%
  • PNP39.1%
Results for event-dc1c252db5e55f9c6c49e9ee
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,46059.7%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/202495639.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP68.4%
  • PNP30.3%
Results for event-682a2ac9ded34cf51ef29dd5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,46368.4%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/201664830.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP57.4%
  • PNP41.1%
Results for event-b97116484e9206286ef3229b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,20157.4%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/201286041.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.860927152317885, oldest_gap=16.545366327025718, previous_gap=38.60729512079584

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[60.43046357615894,39.56953642384106,0],[69.30364756039792,30.696352439602084,0],[58.27268316351286,41.72731683648714,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[60.43046357615894,39.56953642384106,0],[69.30364756039792,30.696352439602084,0],[58.27268316351286,41.72731683648714,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[60.43046357615894,39.56953642384106,0],[69.30364756039792,30.696352439602084,0],[58.27268316351286,41.72731683648714,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “WATERLOO — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-WATERLOO. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.