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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PAYNE LANDS — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · PAYNE LANDS / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PAYNE LANDS / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-989beb52fa0c1ec6b99f2b39
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP1.9%
  • PNP96.4%
Results for event-1cd16229158251a63ec24de3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/2024481.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/20242,43596.4%1Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP2.0%
  • PNP95.9%
Results for event-39bf38d600cb26b9ab2f491d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/2016492%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/20162,35895.9%1Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP1.2%
  • PNP97.6%
Results for event-bb11e5db8240407da0bd6f2f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/2012291.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20122,30397.6%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=96.13370922271446, oldest_gap=97.51286449399657, previous_gap=95.92854175321978

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

0.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.9331453886427707,98.06685461135723,0],[2.0357291233901122,97.96427087660989,0],[1.2435677530017153,98.75643224699829,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

0.79percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.9331453886427707,98.06685461135723,0],[2.0357291233901122,97.96427087660989,0],[1.2435677530017153,98.75643224699829,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

0.45percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.9331453886427707,98.06685461135723,0],[2.0357291233901122,97.96427087660989,0],[1.2435677530017153,98.75643224699829,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PAYNE LANDS — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAYNE-LANDS. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.