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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PAPINE — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · PAPINE / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PAPINE / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-bd38ab016f2521ecf3c3db2d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • Independent — PAPINE (IND A)1.5%
  • JLP45.2%
  • PNP51.0%
Results for event-f6876b8bea03bde4036e1a98
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Independent — PAPINE (IND A)IND Ajamaica/S975fca3559/2024601.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,84645.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/20242,08551%1Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP45.7%
  • PNP52.2%
Results for event-99b46a8f86b2b19652270148
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,93145.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/20162,20852.2%1Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP37.5%
  • PNP61.7%
Results for event-25680759cb6a90da05803cad
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,26837.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20122,08461.7%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

59.820–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.988474066649957, oldest_gap=24.343675417661103, previous_gap=6.692437786905046

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.5percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[46.25407166123779,52.242545727887745,1.5033826108744675],[46.65378110654748,53.34621889345252,0],[37.82816229116945,62.17183770883055,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.83percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[46.25407166123779,52.242545727887745,1.5033826108744675],[46.65378110654748,53.34621889345252,0],[37.82816229116945,62.17183770883055,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[46.25407166123779,52.242545727887745,1.5033826108744675],[46.65378110654748,53.34621889345252,0],[37.82816229116945,62.17183770883055,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PAPINE — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-PAPINE. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.