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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

HAGLEY PARK — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · HAGLEY PARK / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
HAGLEY PARK / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-70d3b0f738bae174b6477b14
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP35.5%
  • PNP62.1%
Results for event-3342c6947cc2c2da0ef0d43e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/202487235.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,52462.1%1Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP45.0%
  • PNP52.8%
Results for event-c859fe9e775eb747f7545f20
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/201697545%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,14352.8%1Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP39.3%
  • PNP58.4%
Results for event-2d310ac41b34d3bc4b926a11
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/201270839.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,05258.4%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.21202003338898, oldest_gap=19.545454545454547, previous_gap=7.932011331444755

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.64percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[36.39398998330551,63.60601001669449,0],[46.03399433427762,53.96600566572238,0],[40.22727272727273,59.77272727272727,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[36.39398998330551,63.60601001669449,0],[46.03399433427762,53.96600566572238,0],[40.22727272727273,59.77272727272727,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[36.39398998330551,63.60601001669449,0],[46.03399433427762,53.96600566572238,0],[40.22727272727273,59.77272727272727,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “HAGLEY PARK — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-HAGLEY-PARK. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.