Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Center forDigital DemocracyElection database
Back to the Center

Office briefing

DENHAM TOWN — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · DENHAM TOWN / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
DENHAM TOWN / KINGSTON & ST ANDREW
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-9754996810bedad4fdf9937c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2025-09-03

Special · Preliminary · unknown

  • JLPunknown
Results for event-334e0b7041521a2ae4b9a8d1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPjamaica/Sd1fc8499ef/2025UnknownUnknownUnknownPreliminary

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • Independent — DENHAM TOWN (IND C)0.3%
  • JLP82.5%
  • PNP16.4%
Results for event-f66fb6aed92def916d1ca8c1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Independent — DENHAM TOWN (IND C)IND Cjamaica/S975fca3559/202490.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/20242,74582.5%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/202454616.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP87.6%
  • PNP11.3%
Results for event-ee44a13a8cb47c8af5d83595
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/20162,58087.6%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/201633311.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2012-03-26 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes. Includes a known by-election in the selected three-event sequence.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=77.13697219361484, previous_gap=66.63636363636364

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[83.18181818181819,16.545454545454547,0.2727272727272727],[88.56848609680742,11.431513903192585,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[83.18181818181819,16.545454545454547,0.2727272727272727],[88.56848609680742,11.431513903192585,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[83.18181818181819,16.545454545454547,0.2727272727272727],[88.56848609680742,11.431513903192585,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • unresolved event · open

    Known replacement election retained in sequence; final vote vector or certification remains missing: {"jurisdiction_id": "JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN", "event_id": "JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN-BY-2025-09-03", "issue": "Known replacement election retained in sequence; final vote vector or certification remains missing", "source_id": "Sd1fc8499ef"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “DENHAM TOWN — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-KINGSTON-ST-ANDREW-DENHAM-TOWN. Sources: jamaica--url-b192c34168df0df74f36e2ed, jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--Sd1fc8499ef, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.