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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PALMERS CROSS — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · PALMERS CROSS / CLARENDON · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PALMERS CROSS / CLARENDON
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-c8ebf04428db8a9b91bc4f0d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • Independent — PALMERS CROSS (IND A)4.8%
  • JLP49.0%
  • PNP45.5%
Results for event-b11873100dbf2d6896e65979
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
Independent — PALMERS CROSS (IND A)IND Ajamaica/S975fca3559/20241284.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,31849%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,22545.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP59.0%
  • PNP39.9%
Results for event-592eeca81f0c1ab788535c8c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,69659%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,14839.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP49.2%
  • PNP50.1%
Results for event-4f32f3245260b8967a3fe9e0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,16349.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,18450.1%1Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

60.20–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.4818420067390434, oldest_gap=0.8947592671495528, previous_gap=19.26863572433193

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.34481467615125,45.86297266941221,4.792212654436541],[59.634317862165965,40.365682137834035,0],[49.552620366425224,50.447379633574776,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.08percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.34481467615125,45.86297266941221,4.792212654436541],[59.634317862165965,40.365682137834035,0],[49.552620366425224,50.447379633574776,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.34481467615125,45.86297266941221,4.792212654436541],[59.634317862165965,40.365682137834035,0],[49.552620366425224,50.447379633574776,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PALMERS CROSS — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-CLARENDON-PALMERS-CROSS. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.