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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MINERAL HEIGHTS — Electoral division councillor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · MINERAL HEIGHTS / CLARENDON · municipal · Electoral division councillorJM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS

Read the complete original research briefing

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MINERAL HEIGHTS / CLARENDON
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-19c46154ad17ede7683ffb3f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP58.7%
  • PNP40.8%
Results for event-5bca76db6ad1fc5250bfaa27
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,88458.7%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S975fca3559/20241,30940.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP59.6%
  • PNP39.7%
Results for event-a59f9e3f9e6787996662d1c6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,56459.6%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S375abb1313/20161,04139.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JLP55.0%
  • PNP44.0%
Results for event-bc4a2b6ebcfa52b83de71b82
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPJLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,51455%1Recorded
PNPPNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,21144%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

10.30–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.008142812402127, oldest_gap=11.11926605504587, previous_gap=20.076775431861805

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

1.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[59.004071406201064,40.995928593798936,0],[60.0383877159309,39.9616122840691,0],[55.559633027522935,44.440366972477065,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.48percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[59.004071406201064,40.995928593798936,0],[60.0383877159309,39.9616122840691,0],[55.559633027522935,44.440366972477065,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

2.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[59.004071406201064,40.995928593798936,0],[60.0383877159309,39.9616122840691,0],[55.559633027522935,44.440366972477065,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MINERAL HEIGHTS — Electoral division councillor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-W-CLARENDON-MINERAL-HEIGHTS. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.