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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TRELAWNY — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · TRELAWNY · municipal · Municipal councilJM-C-TRELAWNY

Read the complete original research briefing

Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TRELAWNY
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-8650f112f38ea62cc3b07cdd
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JLP50.4%
  • PNP49.4%
  • Independent — MARTHA BRAE (IND A)0.2%
Results for event-9491a75847c595343ede3cd0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPjamaica/S975fca3559/202410,68550.4%6Recorded
PNPjamaica/S975fca3559/202410,47349.4%3Recorded
Independent — MARTHA BRAE (IND A)jamaica/S975fca3559/2024350.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JLP57.4%
  • PNP42.6%
Results for event-53f49b9987ed9d5a3ba5fdd5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPjamaica/S375abb1313/201611,54457.4%6Recorded
PNPjamaica/S375abb1313/20168,55842.6%3Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PNP48.9%
  • JLP44.3%
  • Independent — LORRIMERS (IND)6.8%
  • Independent — MARTHA BRAE (IND)0.0%
Results for event-8af496cb6dffa75fa8f28f30
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/201211,03948.9%4Recorded
JLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/201210,01444.3%4Recorded
Independent — LORRIMERS (IND)jamaica/S60dfdaaaba/20121,5306.8%1Recorded
Independent — MARTHA BRAE (IND)jamaica/S60dfdaaaba/2012100%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

72.450–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.000330297739815, oldest_gap=4.53680343469216, previous_gap=14.854243358869766

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.41759071391497,49.417260416175154,0.1651488699098759],[57.42712167943488,42.57287832056512,0],[44.32346301951932,48.860266454211484,6.816270526269198]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.41759071391497,49.417260416175154,0.1651488699098759],[57.42712167943488,42.57287832056512,0],[44.32346301951932,48.860266454211484,6.816270526269198]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.41759071391497,49.417260416175154,0.1651488699098759],[57.42712167943488,42.57287832056512,0],[44.32346301951932,48.860266454211484,6.816270526269198]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TRELAWNY — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-C-TRELAWNY. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.