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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CLARENDON — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Jamaica · CLARENDON · municipal · Municipal councilJM-C-CLARENDON

Read the complete original research briefing

Ordinary council cycles; individual ward boundary and by-election audit remains Full-council ordinary returns aggregate the underlying ward ballots. Known ward by-elections are reported separately and do not become artificial whole-council vote events.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CLARENDON
Next election
2028-02
Linked upcoming event
next-cf29a044958dea058b6e6916
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2028-02 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-02-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PNP49.8%
  • JLP49.7%
  • Independent — PALMERS CROSS (IND A)0.2%
  • Independent — YORK TOWN (IND E)0.1%
  • Independent — RITCHIES (IND C)0.0%
  • Independent — SPALDING (IND A)0.0%
  • Independent — THOMPSON TOWN (IND E)0.0%
Results for event-3938814f3a37c1c84225023a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PNPjamaica/S975fca3559/202428,59149.8%10Recorded
JLPjamaica/S975fca3559/202428,53449.7%12Recorded
Independent — PALMERS CROSS (IND A)jamaica/S975fca3559/20241280.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Independent — YORK TOWN (IND E)jamaica/S975fca3559/2024700.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Independent — RITCHIES (IND C)jamaica/S975fca3559/2024150%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Independent — SPALDING (IND A)jamaica/S975fca3559/2024140%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Independent — THOMPSON TOWN (IND E)jamaica/S975fca3559/202480%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-11-28

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JLP54.1%
  • PNP45.1%
  • Independent — MILK RIVER (INDH)0.8%
Results for event-09d0a8c63ebbd777ee41c802
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JLPjamaica/S375abb1313/201628,96754.1%14Recorded
PNPjamaica/S375abb1313/201624,13645.1%8Recorded
Independent — MILK RIVER (INDH)jamaica/S375abb1313/20164020.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2012-03-26

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PNP53.9%
  • JLP46.1%
Results for event-cd68c0857f691a6c462684dc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PNPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/201229,79553.9%13Recorded
JLPjamaica/S60dfdaaaba/201225,53146.1%9Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

82.30–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.0993723849372401, oldest_gap=7.707045512055814, previous_gap=9.029062704420149

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.74546722454672,49.84483960948396,0.40969316596931654],[54.1388655265863,45.10980282216615,0.751331651247547],[46.14647724397209,53.85352275602791,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.74546722454672,49.84483960948396,0.40969316596931654],[54.1388655265863,45.10980282216615,0.751331651247547],[46.14647724397209,53.85352275602791,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["JLP","PNP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.74546722454672,49.84483960948396,0.40969316596931654],[54.1388655265863,45.10980282216615,0.751331651247547],[46.14647724397209,53.85352275602791,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CLARENDON — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/JM-C-CLARENDON. Sources: jamaica--url-b1bfddcea4443c34b2ed3119, jamaica--url-74b9a8a4565d376c1ee70961, jamaica--url-5eba0e7de6d09ab6469c4a9b, jamaica--S975fca3559, jamaica--S375abb1313, jamaica--S60dfdaaaba.