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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Guanagazapa — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Guanagazapa / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-08

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Guanagazapa / Escuintla
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-a98438ef2f0763842f99cdb5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS35.1%
  • UNE25.4%
  • VIVA11.1%
  • CABAL9.2%
  • AZUL6.4%
  • VALOR4.2%
  • CAMBIO3.2%
  • PODEMOS3.2%
  • WINAQ1.0%
  • PPN0.7%
  • VOS0.4%
  • PR0.2%
Results for event-1fc6c393b3b8b9f4f608ae27
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · WEIMER WUILFREDO REYES CASTILLOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233,24135.1%5Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,34725.4%2Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,02411.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238469.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235946.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233844.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233003.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232963.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023911%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023650.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023340.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023220.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE40.2%
  • VAMOS30.0%
  • BIEN14.5%
  • LIBRE7.2%
  • UCN4.3%
  • MLP1.8%
  • FCN-NACION1.2%
  • UNIONISTA0.8%
Results for event-78afdedb509e127404ee271a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · WEIMER WUILFREDO REYES CASTILLOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,04840.2%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,27030%2Recorded
BIENguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,10114.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195437.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193234.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191391.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019941.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019600.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE46.0%
  • LIDER30.1%
  • PP14.3%
  • CREO- Unionista4.1%
  • TODOS2.5%
  • CONVERGENCIA1.7%
  • VIVA1.3%
Results for event-4820b59a32dc1862a54486b8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · Weimer Wuilfredo Reyes Castilloguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,72746%6Recorded
LIDER · José Wuilson Mejía Gaitanguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,78630.1%1Recorded
PP · Mynor Miguel Montenegro Herrarteguatemala/S6241581360d0/201585114.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Felipe Elias Reyes Valenzuelaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152434.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Luis Ismael Godínez Alvaradoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151482.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONVERGENCIA · Elvin Bonarge Aja Cameyguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151011.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA · Marlon Marinely Zaldaña Cismeguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015761.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

47.660–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.671138035482471, oldest_gap=15.86311530681052, previous_gap=10.266561097915016

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[25.389441800086544,35.060579835569015,0,0,11.0774556469061,0,0,0,0,0,0,28.472522717438334],[40.22169437846397,29.955133280548957,0,4.262338347849036,0,0,0,0,1.240432831881763,0.7917656373713381,0,23.528635523884933],[45.97100472016184,0,2.4949426837491573,0,1.2811867835468644,30.107889413351316,14.345920431557653,0,0,0,0,5.799055967633176]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[25.389441800086544,35.060579835569015,0,0,11.0774556469061,0,0,0,0,0,0,28.472522717438334],[40.22169437846397,29.955133280548957,0,4.262338347849036,0,0,0,0,1.240432831881763,0.7917656373713381,0,23.528635523884933],[45.97100472016184,0,2.4949426837491573,0,1.2811867835468644,30.107889413351316,14.345920431557653,0,0,0,0,5.799055967633176]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[25.389441800086544,35.060579835569015,0,0,11.0774556469061,0,0,0,0,0,0,28.472522717438334],[40.22169437846397,29.955133280548957,0,4.262338347849036,0,0,0,0,1.240432831881763,0.7917656373713381,0,23.528635523884933],[45.97100472016184,0,2.4949426837491573,0,1.2811867835468644,30.107889413351316,14.345920431557653,0,0,0,0,5.799055967633176]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Weimer Wuilfredo Reyes CastilloAlcalde2015UNEunknown
Carlos Armando López AlvarezSíndico I2015UNEunknown
Jorge Anibal Carrillo SalazarSíndico II2015UNEunknown
María Angelica Samayoa Aldana de MarroquínSíndico Suplente2015UNEunknown
Miguel Angel Marin EstradaConcejal 12015UNEunknown
Lester Arsenio Martinez BethancourtConcejal 22015UNEunknown
Luis Alberto Lopez EscobarConcejal 32015UNEunknown
Carlos Borromeo Pirir CulajayConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Federico Olivares VallesConcejal suplente 12015UNEunknown
Dominga Leticia Samayoa AldanaConcejal suplente 22015LIDERunknown
WEIMER WUILFREDO REYES CASTILLOALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019UNEunknown
MARIO ROBERTO ESCOBAR ESTRADASÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
CONRADO APOLINARIO CHIGUICHON RAMIREZSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
GUILLERMO ANIBAL ESCOBARSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
MIGUEL ANGEL MARIN ESTRADACONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
PATRICIO SOLIS RAMOSCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
DOMINGO HERIBERTO DUBÓN GONZÁLEZCONCEJAL TERCERO2019VAMOSunknown
RICARDO GUZMÁN GAITÁNCONCEJAL CUARTO2019VAMOSunknown
OLGA PATRICIA HERRARTE MUÑOZPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
EDWIN REYES FRANCOSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VAMOSunknown
WEIMER WUILFREDO REYES CASTILLOALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VAMOSunknown
MARIO RENE TOLICO GIRONSINDICO I2023VAMOSunknown
ELVIN BONARGE AJA CAMEYSINDICO II2023VAMOSunknown
MIGUEL ANGEL MARIN ESTRADACONCEJAL I2023VAMOSunknown
PATRICIO SOLIS RAMOSCONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
DOMINGO HERIBERTO DUBON GONZALEZCONCEJAL III2023UNEunknown
WALFREN ARTURO GAITAN SANTOSCONCEJAL IV2023UNEunknown
GUILLERMO ANIBAL ESCOBARSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
OLGA PATRICIA HERRARTE MUÑOZ DE GOMEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
MARIO ERIBERTO MEJIA CHOCONCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Guanagazapa — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-08. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.