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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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San Agustín Acasaguastlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

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San Agustín Acasaguastlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
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Guatemala · El Progreso

San Agustín Acasaguastlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Election expectation2027-06-27
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 80.5/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 31.7 points; earlier interval 62.6 points; two-interval mean 47.1 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-06-25 · Final municipal declaration

Coverage: Final TSE municipal report: votes and adjudicated titular seats

Basis: Shared mayor/council party ballot. Valid affirmative party votes exclude blank/null ballots. Seats include mayor, syndics and titular councillors; substitutes are excluded.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
VAMOSBYRON MANOLO AGUILAR ALDANA5,01731.77%6
VALOR4,22226.74%2
RENOVADOR3,78523.97%2
MORENA7884.99%0
CAMBIO6854.34%0
UNE3842.43%0
TODOS2741.74%0
PODEMOS1891.20%0
UC1591.01%0
AZUL1490.94%0
PIN920.58%0
FCN-NACION470.30%0

Result source · PDF pages 440, 441

2019-06-16 · Final municipal declaration

Coverage: Final TSE municipal report: votes and adjudicated titular seats

Basis: Shared mayor/council party ballot. Valid affirmative party votes exclude blank/null ballots. Seats include mayor, syndics and titular councillors; substitutes are excluded.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PHGJOSE MANUEL MARROQUIN HICHOS3,34522.64%5
COMITÉ CIVICO RENOVADOR3,03120.51%1
CREO2,37916.10%1
UNE1,63811.08%1
MORENA1,1107.51%0
CAFESA1,0507.11%0
BIEN9076.14%0
PAN4052.74%0
FUERZA3442.33%0
VAMOS3172.15%0
VALOR1090.74%0
VIVA760.51%0
SEMILLA660.45%0

Result source · PDF pages 471

2015-09-06 · Final municipal declaration

Coverage: Final TSE municipal report: votes and adjudicated titular seats

Basis: Shared mayor/council party ballot. Valid affirmative party votes exclude blank/null ballots. Seats include mayor, syndics and titular councillors; substitutes are excluded.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
UNEMario Augusto Castro Telles3,28823.03%5
PPJosé Manuel Marroquín Hichos2,94220.61%1
UCNByron Manolo Aguilar Aldana1,96813.79%1
LIDERHugo Javier Morales Aldana1,50510.54%1
MORENAGildardo Marcelino Aristondo Espinal1,43910.08%0
FCN NACIONGustavo Adolfo Sosa García9646.75%0
CREO- UnionistaDaniel Ignacio Ortega Ayala9156.41%0
TODOSGustavo Adolfo García Carcamo4823.38%0
VIVAMaría Victoria Capen Tonon de Ralda4072.85%0
PRIElvia Domitila Morales de López3652.56%0

Result source · PDF pages 349

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record GT-M-04-03.