Office briefing
San Agustín Acasaguastlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · San Agustín Acasaguastlán / El Progreso · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-04-03
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Agustín Acasaguastlán / El Progreso
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-ec63f47786b2166e36605c9f
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS31.8%
- VALOR26.7%
- RENOVADOR24.0%
- MORENA5.0%
- CAMBIO4.3%
- UNE2.4%
- TODOS1.7%
- PODEMOS1.2%
- UC1.0%
- AZUL0.9%
- PIN0.6%
- FCN-NACION0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · BYRON MANOLO AGUILAR ALDANA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 5,017 | 31.8% | 6 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 4,222 | 26.7% | 2 | Recorded |
| RENOVADOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 3,785 | 24% | 2 | Recorded |
| MORENA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 788 | 5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAMBIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 685 | 4.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 384 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 274 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 189 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UC | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 159 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 149 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PIN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 92 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 47 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- PHG22.6%
- COMITÉ CIVICO RENOVADOR20.5%
- CREO16.1%
- UNE11.1%
- MORENA7.5%
- CAFESA7.1%
- BIEN6.1%
- PAN2.7%
- FUERZA2.3%
- VAMOS2.1%
- VALOR0.7%
- VIVA0.5%
- SEMILLA0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHG · JOSE MANUEL MARROQUIN HICHOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 3,345 | 22.6% | 5 | Recorded |
| COMITÉ CIVICO RENOVADOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 3,031 | 20.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,379 | 16.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,638 | 11.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| MORENA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,110 | 7.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAFESA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,050 | 7.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 907 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 405 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 344 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 317 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 109 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 76 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 66 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE23.0%
- PP20.6%
- UCN13.8%
- LIDER10.5%
- MORENA10.1%
- FCN NACION6.8%
- CREO- Unionista6.4%
- TODOS3.4%
- VIVA2.9%
- PRI2.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · Mario Augusto Castro Telles | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 3,288 | 23% | 5 | Recorded |
| PP · José Manuel Marroquín Hichos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,942 | 20.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| UCN · Byron Manolo Aguilar Aldana | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,968 | 13.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Hugo Javier Morales Aldana | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,505 | 10.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| MORENA · Gildardo Marcelino Aristondo Espinal | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,439 | 10.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Gustavo Adolfo Sosa García | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 964 | 6.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Daniel Ignacio Ortega Ayala | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 915 | 6.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Gustavo Adolfo García Carcamo | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 482 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA · María Victoria Capen Tonon de Ralda | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 407 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PRI · Elvia Domitila Morales de López | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 365 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI80.50–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.034513330378065, oldest_gap=2.4238178633975487, previous_gap=2.1249238681735143
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility31.66percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.431764929390159,31.77126211132924,1.735165600658603,0,0,0,0,0,0.297637895003483,0,0,63.764169463618515],[11.084793936522974,2.145225688570075,0,0,0.5143127833795764,0,0,16.099343574473846,0,0,0.44664004872436897,69.70968396832916],[23.033274956217163,0,3.3765323992994745,13.786339754816112,2.851138353765324,10.542907180385289,20.609457092819614,0,0,0,0,25.800350262697023]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility62.6percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.431764929390159,31.77126211132924,1.735165600658603,0,0,0,0,0,0.297637895003483,0,0,63.764169463618515],[11.084793936522974,2.145225688570075,0,0,0.5143127833795764,0,0,16.099343574473846,0,0,0.44664004872436897,69.70968396832916],[23.033274956217163,0,3.3765323992994745,13.786339754816112,2.851138353765324,10.542907180385289,20.609457092819614,0,0,0,0,25.800350262697023]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility47.13percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.431764929390159,31.77126211132924,1.735165600658603,0,0,0,0,0,0.297637895003483,0,0,63.764169463618515],[11.084793936522974,2.145225688570075,0,0,0.5143127833795764,0,0,16.099343574473846,0,0,0.44664004872436897,69.70968396832916],[23.033274956217163,0,3.3765323992994745,13.786339754816112,2.851138353765324,10.542907180385289,20.609457092819614,0,0,0,0,25.800350262697023]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Augusto Castro Telles | Alcalde | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Obdulio Ramírez Vásquez | Síndico I | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Edy Ismael López Velásquez | Síndico II | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Luis Humberto Barrientos Pinto | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Roy Stuardo Marroquín Vargas | Concejal 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Armindo Montecinos Godínez | Concejal 2 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Eddie Enrique Cruz Ayala | Concejal 3 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Orlando González Reyes | Concejal 4 | 2015 | UCN | unknown |
| José Alfredo Oliva Hernández | Concejal 5 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Arnoldo Orellana Ramos | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Juan Aquilino Cruz Castañeda | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| JOSE MANUEL MARROQUIN HICHOS | ALCALDE | 2019 | PHG | unknown |
| NERY ORLANDO ORTIZ GARCÍA | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | PHG | unknown |
| CESAR AUGUSTO CRUZ PEREZ | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | PHG | unknown |
| JOSE LUIS LOPEZ CUELLAR | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | PHG | unknown |
| RENE AMILCAR MARROQUIN BARRIENTOS | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | PHG | unknown |
| MARIA RAQUEL RODRIGUEZ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | PHG | unknown |
| JULIAN MARNELLI MEZA PAHAU | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | COMITÉ CIVICO RENOVADOR | unknown |
| EDGAR OCTAVIO VARGAS PAIZ | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| OBDULIO RAMÍREZ VÁSQUEZ | CONCEJAL QUINTO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| NANCI YECENIA LEONARDO LOPEZ DE ACEVEDO | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PHG | unknown |
| EDILBERTO MARROQUIN GUILLEN | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | COMITÉ CIVICO RENOVADOR | unknown |
| BYRON MANOLO AGUILAR ALDANA | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JORGE OTTONIEL VASQUEZ CASTRO | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| BYRON SAMUEL TABIQUE MEJIA | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| RENE HAROLDO PALOMO TORRES | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ARMINDO REYES ORTIZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ERVIN ARDANI GARCIA DE LEON | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| LUIS FERNANDO NAJERA | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| EDGAR OCTAVIO VARGAS PAIZ | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| ARMINDO MONTECINOS GODINEZ | CONCEJAL VI | 2023 | RENOVADOR | unknown |
| ELVIA JUDITH LARIOS DE VARGAS | CONCEJAL VII | 2023 | RENOVADOR | unknown |
| CRYSTIAN RAFAEL CORDERO VARGAS | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ORLANDO ANTONIO GUERRA LOPEZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MELDERINA IXMUCANE GARCIA HERNANDEZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| GERMAN DE JESUS RAMIREZ VARGAS | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE III | 2023 | RENOVADOR | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Agustín Acasaguastlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-04-03. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.