Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Antigua Guatemala — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Antigua Guatemala / Sacatepéquez · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-02-01

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Antigua Guatemala / Sacatepéquez
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-fb4e4f0f26186770fa4a1fe8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FUTURO25.1%
  • TODOS22.4%
  • VOS21.6%
  • SEMILLA6.6%
  • CABAL6.0%
  • VAMOS4.6%
  • MI FAMILIA3.8%
  • MLP3.2%
  • AZUL1.9%
  • UNE1.4%
  • WINAQ1.4%
  • VICTORIA0.9%
  • VIVA0.9%
  • CAMBIO0.3%
Results for event-97e938a3c1705b7730c0575f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUTURO · JUAN MANUEL ASTURJAS SUEIRASguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236,54325.1%6Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,85022.4%2Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,64521.6%2Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,7126.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,5666%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,2104.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20239893.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238373.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234841.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233601.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233531.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232360.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232290.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023770.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • TODOS18.3%
  • CAMBIO14.8%
  • UNE12.7%
  • UNIONISTA10.7%
  • SANTIAGO DE LOS CABALLEROS5.7%
  • SOS4.7%
  • VIVA4.6%
  • VAMOS4.6%
  • PC3.7%
  • LIBRE3.6%
  • VALOR2.8%
  • FUERZA2.3%
  • EG2.2%
  • VICTORIA1.8%
  • PHG1.6%
  • MLP1.5%
  • CREO1.5%
  • PPT1.3%
  • SEMILLA1.1%
  • UCN0.5%
Results for event-2f6245a3fe9127f3c6fba9ac
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TODOS · VICTOR HUGO DEL POZO CORONADOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,27118.3%5Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,43814.8%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,96512.7%1Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,49410.7%1Recorded
SANTIAGO DE LOS CABALLEROSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,3275.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,0964.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,0824.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,0694.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198633.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198443.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20196502.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195442.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195092.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194241.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193681.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193501.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193381.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPTguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193011.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192531.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191180.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ABM27.9%
  • TODOS18.9%
  • LIDER15.0%
  • CREO13.3%
  • MNR4.6%
  • PAN4.5%
  • UNE2.9%
  • EG2.5%
  • FCN NACION2.5%
  • CNN2.1%
  • YO SOY ANTIGUA2.0%
  • PP1.6%
  • MI PAIS1.3%
  • UCN1.1%
Results for event-b77a64cbf30acdf358d75c17
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ABM · Susana Heidi Asencio Luegguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156,81127.9%5Recorded
TODOS · Victor Hugo Del Pozo Coronadoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,62018.9%1Recorded
LIDER · Carlos René Aguilar Lópezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,65815%1Recorded
CREO · Manuel Antonio Estrada Ortizguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,24613.3%1Recorded
MNR · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,1134.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAN · Victor Fabricio López Fernándezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,1054.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNE · Galim Adami Morales Barriosguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156992.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EG · Luis Armando Mendoza Moranguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156152.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · César Oswaldo Díaz Castilloguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156092.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CNN · Luis Antonio Zamora Garcíaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155192.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
YO SOY ANTIGUA · Juan Carlos Antonio Luna Aguileraguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154802%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PP · José Arturo Samayoa Paredesguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153821.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI PAIS · José Alvaro Hernández Hernándezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153291.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Edwin Efraín Nájera Castañedaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152631.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

82.190–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.6560883063125225, oldest_gap=8.961511718270685, previous_gap=3.574493649158942

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.379786133149362,4.637614503085355,22.42152466367713,0,0.8776972902533441,0,0,0,0,0,6.561649610976965,64.12172779885785],[12.723137658771027,4.587195331273601,18.327325780981806,0.5063508410573292,4.6429797459663575,0,0,1.4503947820116718,0,10.70202540336423,1.085650532097494,45.97493992447648],[2.859012638553724,0,18.89647838357397,1.075708617939384,0,14.961757127080862,1.5624360914556832,13.276616630537037,0,0,0,47.36799051085935]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.379786133149362,4.637614503085355,22.42152466367713,0,0.8776972902533441,0,0,0,0,0,6.561649610976965,64.12172779885785],[12.723137658771027,4.587195331273601,18.327325780981806,0.5063508410573292,4.6429797459663575,0,0,1.4503947820116718,0,10.70202540336423,1.085650532097494,45.97493992447648],[2.859012638553724,0,18.89647838357397,1.075708617939384,0,14.961757127080862,1.5624360914556832,13.276616630537037,0,0,0,47.36799051085935]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.379786133149362,4.637614503085355,22.42152466367713,0,0.8776972902533441,0,0,0,0,0,6.561649610976965,64.12172779885785],[12.723137658771027,4.587195331273601,18.327325780981806,0.5063508410573292,4.6429797459663575,0,0,1.4503947820116718,0,10.70202540336423,1.085650532097494,45.97493992447648],[2.859012638553724,0,18.89647838357397,1.075708617939384,0,14.961757127080862,1.5624360914556832,13.276616630537037,0,0,0,47.36799051085935]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Susana Heidi Asencio LuegAlcalde2015ABMunknown
Carlos Orlando Flores VelaSíndico I2015ABMunknown
Carlos Francisco Azurdia CastellanosSíndico II2015ABMunknown
Francisco Eduardo Bonifaz RodríguezSíndico Suplente2015ABMunknown
Luis Alberto Asturias ArchilaConcejal 12015ABMunknown
Pedro José Asturias MontenegroConcejal 22015ABMunknown
María Eugenia Contreras MejíaConcejal 32015TODOSunknown
Julio Roberto Roldán SamayoaConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Roberto Emilio Orozco OlivaConcejal 52015CREOunknown
Carlos Arnaldo Ramírez GómezConcejal suplente 12015ABMunknown
Juan Diego Arriola GallinaConcejal suplente 22015TODOSunknown
VICTOR HUGO DEL POZO CORONADOALCALDE2019TODOSunknown
ELSA MARIA CABRERA ALVARADOSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019TODOSunknown
OTTO RODOLFO GARCÍA HERNÁNDEZSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019TODOSunknown
KAREN LICEL CISNEROS FIGUEROASÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019CAMBIOunknown
JUAN DIEGO ARRIOLA GALLINACONCEJAL PRIMERO2019TODOSunknown
CARMEN BEATRIZ VASQUEZ HERNÁNDEZCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019TODOSunknown
JOSE CARLOS FLORES ESTRADACONCEJAL TERCERO2019CAMBIOunknown
BYRON OSWALDO GONZÁLEZ CASIANOCONCEJAL CUARTO2019UNEunknown
NELO MIJANGOSCONCEJAL QUINTO2019UNIONISTAunknown
LUIS EDUARDO GARCÍA GARCÍA SALASPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019TODOSunknown
GLADIZ MARITZA PALENCIA MORALES DE OLIVASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019CAMBIOunknown
JUAN MANUEL ASTURJAS SUEIRASALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023FUTUROunknown
ANA LIZETH MORALES PORRASSINDICO I2023FUTUROunknown
LUCY ELIZABETH LOPEZ ESTRADASINDICO II2023FUTUROunknown
CARLOS CONRADO GARCIA GARCIACONCEJAL I2023FUTUROunknown
INOCENTE CUTZANCONCEJAL II2023FUTUROunknown
DIEGO ANDRES MARTINEZ MARQUEZCONCEJAL III2023FUTUROunknown
JUAN DIEGO ARRIOLA GALLINACONCEJAL IV2023TODOSunknown
CARMEN BEATRIZ VASQUEZ HERNANDEZCONCEJAL V2023TODOSunknown
EDGAR ROBERTO MORALES RAXONCONCEJAL VI2023VOSunknown
MANUEL ANTONIO ESTRADA ORTIZCONCEJAL VII2023VOSunknown
MARIA LOURDES RODRIGUEZ LEMUSSINDICO SUPLENTE2023FUTUROunknown
AMALIA VIRGINIA PELLECER LARRAÑAGA DE QUIROACONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023FUTUROunknown
LEONEL MIJANGOS HERNANDEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023TODOSunknown
VICTOR MANUEL REYES AJANELCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023VOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Antigua Guatemala — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-02-01. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.