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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San Raimundo — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · San Raimundo / Guatemala · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-01-11

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San Raimundo / Guatemala
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-d8360d1fb5318b29b6c616a4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • DESANRAY15.4%
  • VAMOS14.0%
  • UNE13.6%
  • VOS12.0%
  • ELEFANTE9.3%
  • VIVA7.5%
  • CABAL7.2%
  • PODEMOS5.6%
  • VALOR5.2%
  • AZUL4.3%
  • UR2.2%
  • BIEN1.9%
  • SEMILLA1.8%
  • P A N0.1%
Results for event-e7940d398492a9217e7afad0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
DESANRAY · FLORENTÍN LUIS ALVARO QUECHE SARCEÑOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,82615.4%4Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,65914%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,61913.6%1Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,43112%1Recorded
ELEFANTEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,1029.3%1Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238927.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238557.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236615.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236145.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235154.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232632.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232251.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232191.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
P A Nguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023110.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UCN23.1%
  • UNE19.7%
  • VAMOS15.8%
  • FCN-NACION11.9%
  • PHG10.5%
  • CCDSR10.5%
  • FUERZA2.9%
  • SEMILLA2.2%
  • AVANZA2.0%
  • VALOR1.4%
Results for event-50af9eb1b5eee080bb7e02de
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UCN · JOEL HUMBERTO CHOY YOCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,46323.1%5Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,09619.7%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,68615.8%1Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,26711.9%1Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,11710.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CCDSRguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,11510.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193072.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192362.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AVANZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192132%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191461.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP27.6%
  • LIDER22.2%
  • UNE17.0%
  • UCN12.0%
  • CREO- Unionista8.1%
  • TODOS5.4%
  • PRI5.0%
  • VIVA2.8%
Results for event-8d7362d9fbc953a6a0f0d47d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · Fernando Antonio Ortiz Loconguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,51427.6%5Recorded
LIDER · Juan Ramon Tepeu Cojónguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,02322.2%1Recorded
UNE · Carlos Enrique García Mansillaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,55517%1Recorded
UCN · Joel Humberto Choy Yocguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,09112%1Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Clementino Alvarado Márquezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20157398.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Pedro Noe Araujo Garcíaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154965.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · César Augusto Chávez Quiranguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154555%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA · Carlos Antonio Cordova Sánchezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152522.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

87.930–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.4043054154053145, oldest_gap=5.38082191780822, previous_gap=3.4473041517941

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[13.614194416414396,13.950554994954592,0,0,7.500840901446351,0,0,0,0,0,1.841574167507568,63.09283551967709],[19.688145782453503,15.836934059740747,0,23.135449934247603,0,0,0,0,11.901183543114785,0,2.2167950403907573,27.221491640052605],[17.041095890410958,0,5.435616438356164,11.956164383561644,2.7616438356164386,22.16986301369863,27.55068493150685,0,0,0,0,13.084931506849315]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[13.614194416414396,13.950554994954592,0,0,7.500840901446351,0,0,0,0,0,1.841574167507568,63.09283551967709],[19.688145782453503,15.836934059740747,0,23.135449934247603,0,0,0,0,11.901183543114785,0,2.2167950403907573,27.221491640052605],[17.041095890410958,0,5.435616438356164,11.956164383561644,2.7616438356164386,22.16986301369863,27.55068493150685,0,0,0,0,13.084931506849315]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.64percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[13.614194416414396,13.950554994954592,0,0,7.500840901446351,0,0,0,0,0,1.841574167507568,63.09283551967709],[19.688145782453503,15.836934059740747,0,23.135449934247603,0,0,0,0,11.901183543114785,0,2.2167950403907573,27.221491640052605],[17.041095890410958,0,5.435616438356164,11.956164383561644,2.7616438356164386,22.16986301369863,27.55068493150685,0,0,0,0,13.084931506849315]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Fernando Antonio Ortiz LoconAlcalde2015PPunknown
Santiago Coc SabanSíndico I2015PPunknown
Alfonso Puluc CurupSíndico II2015PPunknown
Wiliams Enrique Trujillo GuzmánSíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Ezequiel Tepeu LoconConcejal 12015PPunknown
Agustin Uyu ChamaléConcejal 22015PPunknown
Edgar Danilo García PérezConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Emiliano Estrada GarcíaConcejal 42015UNEunknown
Rodrigo Locon PirirConcejal 52015UCNunknown
Alejandro Puluc CurupConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Antonio Xiquin IchajConcejal suplente 22015PPunknown
JOEL HUMBERTO CHOY YOCALCALDE2019UCNunknown
EMILIO GARCIA ZETSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UCNunknown
VICENTE MACH PIRIRSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UCNunknown
CARLOS JOEL VELASQUEZ ESTRADASÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
RENE COC ZETCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UCNunknown
MIGUEL AUGUSTO GARCIA VILLAVICENCIOCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UCNunknown
SANTIAGO COC SABÁNCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
CARLOS ENRIQUE GARCIA MANSILLACONCEJAL CUARTO2019VAMOSunknown
RICARDO EXAU ILLESCAS CORTAVECONCEJAL QUINTO2019FCN-NACIONunknown
ERICK GEOVANNY QUELEX XUJURPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UCNunknown
WALFRE ENRIQUE HERNÁNDEZ MÉNDEZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
FLORENTÍN LUIS ALVARO QUECHE SARCEÑOALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023DESANRAYunknown
JULIO CESAR BOCH PULUCSINDICO I2023DESANRAYunknown
VÍCTOR VALDEMAR CAMEY XUJURSINDICO II2023DESANRAYunknown
ANDREA ELIZABETH MORALES RIVAS DE BHORCONCEJAL I2023DESANRAYunknown
JUAN HUMBERTO COC NOJCONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
BYRON RENE SAJQUIY SICAJAUCONCEJAL III2023UNEunknown
NICOLÁS LÓPEZ BATZINCONCEJAL IV2023VOSunknown
DAVID JOCOP TURUYCONCEJAL V2023ELEFANTEunknown
LUIS EDUARDO COC CURUPSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023DESANRAYunknown
SANTIAGO MACABEO NIJ COTZOJAYCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023DESANRAYunknown
JOSÉ CRUZ JOCOP TURUYCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “San Raimundo — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-01-11. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.