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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHIMBORAZO — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · regional · PrefectEC-P-6

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-d6dbec293eaae546f5b5019e
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • VIDA29.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO25.6%
  • CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO14.6%
  • VECINOS EN ACCIÓN10.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK9.4%
  • ALIANZA 5-164.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID2.6%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO1.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO1.3%
Results for event-c53b44c04adb9239953aa579
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VIDA · HERMEL TAYUPANDA CUVI1147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202379,19829.8%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · JUAN PABLO CRUZ CARRILLO123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202368,13725.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO · SANTIAGO OVIEDO1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202338,73914.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VECINOS EN ACCIÓN · CARMEN TIUPUL1291ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202327,77410.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MARTHA SIMBAÑA7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202325,0899.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA 5-16 · HUGO QUIROZ1315ecuador/Sa5c026518f/202311,5814.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · CESAR ROBLES222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,8632.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE AMPLIO · LAURA YESENIA DIAZ VELASCO1068ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,1391.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · CARLOS TAGUA39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,4131.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO25.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)19.8%
  • ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD15.2%
  • ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO12.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL6.7%
  • ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO 18-20-356.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES4.5%
  • ALIANZA AVANCEMOS YA3.8%
  • ALIANZA PROGRESISTA DE CHIMBORAZO 2-12-332.8%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO2.6%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.0%
Results for event-29b3f1cc7d8c0e0a2e943978
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · JUAN PABLO CRUZ144ecuador/Sed7b513864/201965,01725.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA) · SANTIAGO OVIEDO206ecuador/Sed7b513864/201951,47119.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD · PACO FIERRO577ecuador/Sed7b513864/201939,34615.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO · MARCO MURILLO710ecuador/Sed7b513864/201931,93912.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · RAFAEL TEODORO QUITIO PILATAXI170ecuador/Sed7b513864/201917,4116.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO 18-20-35 · ALFONSO FALCONI720ecuador/Sed7b513864/201916,2356.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO COALICION DE LOS COMUNES · AQUILES HERVAS PARRA247ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,7394.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA AVANCEMOS YA · BALTAZAR POMA AUCANCELA731ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,7663.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA PROGRESISTA DE CHIMBORAZO 2-12-33 · FERNANDO OLEAS725ecuador/Sed7b513864/20197,2832.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · CLEMENTE TADAY145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20196,8022.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · ALEX EDUARDO CARRERA158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,5291%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO42.5%
  • ALIANZA AVANZA-AMAUTA19.8%
  • ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"12.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA9.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"8.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO3.4%
  • PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL1.3%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO1.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO0.9%
Results for event-33d3858b3f13712b974eb589
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO · CURICAMA GUAMAN MARIANO6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014108,13642.5%1Recorded
ALIANZA AVANZA-AMAUTA · CURICHUMBI YUPANQUI JOSE PEDRO6010ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201450,32419.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO" · VILLAMARIN RUIZ BELGICA IMPERIO6005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201431,73412.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · MURILLO ILBAY MARCO RAMIRO13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201425,0159.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · PAZMIÑO NUÑEZ HERNAN OSWALDO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/201421,8678.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · BEDRAN RIOFRIO ITALO WLADIMIR10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20148,5873.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO RENOVADOR INSTITUCIONAL ACCION NACIONAL · ZUMBA NOVAY EMBER GEOVANNY9ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,3031.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · BARRENO GUIJARRO ANGEL GERARDO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,2891.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · ALULEMA PATAJALO RICARDO11ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,4050.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

68.340–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.15931832454039, oldest_gap=22.701641404225242, previous_gap=5.219274248857587

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,9.434331203724247,0,0,0,90.56566879627574],null,[0.9443964501688525,0,0,0,9.82290112306605,0,89.2327024267651]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,9.434331203724247,0,0,0,90.56566879627574],null,[0.9443964501688525,0,0,0,9.82290112306605,0,89.2327024267651]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,9.434331203724247,0,0,0,90.56566879627574],null,[0.9443964501688525,0,0,0,9.82290112306605,0,89.2327024267651]]

Source-reported control: Mónica Loza; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-11411,134
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 6,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 411134,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-6",
  "name": "CHIMBORAZO",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
    727,
    728,
    729,
    730,
    731,
    732,
    733,
    734,
    735,
    736,
    737,
    738,
    739,
    740,
    741,
    742,
    743,
    744,
    745,
    746,
    747,
    748,
    749,
    750,
    751,
    752,
    753,
    754,
    755,
    756,
    757,
    758,
    759,
    760,
    761,
    762,
    763,
    764,
    765,
    766,
    767,
    768,
    769,
    770,
    771,
    772,
    773,
    774,
    775,
    776,
    777,
    778,
    779,
    780,
    781,
    782,
    783,
    784,
    785,
    786,
    787,
    788,
    789,
    790,
    791,
    792,
    793,
    794,
    795,
    796,
    797,
    798,
    799,
    800,
    801,
    802,
    803,
    804,
    805,
    806,
    807,
    808,
    809,
    810,
    811,
    812,
    813,
    814,
    815,
    816,
    817,
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    819,
    820,
    821,
    822,
    823,
    824,
    825,
    826,
    827,
    828,
    829,
    830,
    831,
    832,
    833,
    834,
    835,
    836,
    837,
    838,
    839,
    840,
    841,
    842,
    843,
    844,
    845,
    846,
    847,
    848,
    849,
    850,
    851,
    852,
    853,
    854,
    855,
    856,
    857,
    858,
    859,
    860,
    861,
    862,
    863,
    864,
    865,
    866,
    867,
    868,
    869,
    870,
    871,
    872,
    873,
    874,
    875
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CHIMBORAZO — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-6. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.