Office briefing

CAÑAR — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CAÑAR / CAÑAR · regional · PrefectEC-P-3

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: CAÑAR / CAÑAR
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-827f961b68159753fae1e55a
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-1734.1%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK27.9%
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ14.1%
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR12.4%
CAÑAR RENACE CONTIGO9.1%
UNIDOS POR CAÑAR2.4%

Results for event-26b9c9e51c4bb2ee0a54f924
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
CAÑAR EMPRENDE 5-17 · MARCELO JARAMILLO	1306ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	41,341	34.1%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · BELISARIO CHIMBORAZO	7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	33,827	27.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · DIEGO ORMAZA ANDRADE	157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	17,085	14.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · PEDRO ARGUDO SARMIENTO	231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	15,061	12.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
CAÑAR RENACE CONTIGO · ZOILA CORONEL RAMIREZ	1190ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	11,013	9.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNIDOS POR CAÑAR · DENIS PALADINES	1153ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	2,876	2.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO30.7%
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES29.7%
CAÑAR EMPRENDE22.1%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK15.8%
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.7%

Results for event-c96efe0e793068a7322c9c23
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · BAYRON PACHECO	1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	39,234	30.7%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · VICTOR MOLINA	22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	37,883	29.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
CAÑAR EMPRENDE · MARCELO JARAMILLO CALLE	636ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	28,162	22.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · VICENTE TENEZACA	12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	20,144	15.8%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · MAURICIO FAJARDO MATUTE	158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	2,195	1.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS57.6%
MOVIMIENTO CREO28.7%
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO10.1%
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO3.6%

Results for event-62e47b375adf229c3da9c5c6
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · CORREA PADRON ROMMEL SANTIAGO	3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	64,948	57.6%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · RIVERA REINOSO CARLOS WILFRIDO	8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	32,337	28.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · ENCALADA CORDOVA GERMAN AGUSTIN	2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	11,350	10.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · QUINTANA ALARCON SANTOS MIGUEL	1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	4,107	3.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

65.350–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.199516513617649, oldest_gap=28.925333948306754, previous_gap=1.0586280932156917

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

60.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,27.909375180482332,0,0,0,72.09062481951767],[30.74331207196477,0,15.784607187073924,29.684683978749078,0,0,23.787396762212225],[0,0,0,28.682301183232514,0,57.60763513153927,13.71006368522822]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.61percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,27.909375180482332,0,0,0,72.09062481951767],[30.74331207196477,0,15.784607187073924,29.684683978749078,0,0,23.787396762212225],[0,0,0,28.682301183232514,0,57.60763513153927,13.71006368522822]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.02percentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,27.909375180482332,0,0,0,72.09062481951767],[30.74331207196477,0,15.784607187073924,29.684683978749078,0,0,23.787396762212225],[0,0,0,28.682301183232514,0,57.60763513153927,13.71006368522822]]

Source-reported control: Marcelo Jaramillo Calle; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

185,948

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 3,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 185948,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-3",
  "name": "CAÑAR",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
    370,
    371,
    372,
    373,
    374,
    375,
    376,
    377,
    378,
    379,
    380,
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    491
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CAÑAR — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-3. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.