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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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SUCUMBÍOS — Prefect

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SUCUMBÍOS — Prefect
Latin America register

Ecuador · SUCUMBÍOS

SUCUMBÍOS — Prefect

The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Election expectation2026-11-29
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 42.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 49.3 points; earlier interval 25.9 points; two-interval mean 37.6 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Yofre Poma Herrera; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Current officeholder source. Primary prefect association directory; page undated Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Ordinary election register

Ordinary office verified: July 2026 call and August CNE territorial register. CNE province / canton / parish codes: 21.

The precinct distribution dated 11 August 2026 assigns 166,398 electors to this territory. CNE distribution. This administrative count is separate from historical votes and turnout. Territorial totals overlap across office types.

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-02-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANAYOFRE POMA37,04832.84%1
SUCUMBIOS POR EL CAMBIOGUIDO VARGAS33,24629.47%0
UNIDOS SOMOS MASAMADO CHAVEZ29,38126.05%0
UNIDAD NUEVAS OPCIONESCESAR CEVALLOS7,2366.41%0
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO INDEPENDIENTE MUSHUK INTIANGEL SALLO2,5712.28%0
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PIDMIREYA GONZALEZ DAVILA1,7391.54%0
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANOKERLY QUEZADA1,5781.40%0

Result source · Seat source

2019-03-24 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMAAMADO CHAVEZ50,27648.56%1
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENEROGUIDO VARGAS OCAÑA23,74122.93%0
ALIANZA POR LA UNIDAD LEALTAD Y VICTORIAORLANDO GREFA16,53715.97%0
MOVIMIENTO PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK LISTAS 18 - MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SI LISTAS 20ALIPIO CAMPOVERDE8,4158.13%0
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANOJENNY RODRIGUEZ2,2662.19%0
ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA CAMBIO Y PROGRESO PARA SUCUMBIOSMARCELO CALVACHE1,4511.40%0
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTEMAURO BARRETO PANTA4340.42%0
UNION ECUATORIANAROMULO GUZMAN4210.41%0

Result source · Seat source

2014-02-23 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"VARGAS OCAÑA GUIDO GILBERTO39,62243.67%1
MOVIMIENTO SUMACHAVEZ ANGAMARCA HUMBERTO AMADO22,50924.81%0
ALIANZA PAIS - MUSHUK INTI. LISTAS 35-61MOROCHO VELAÑA NANCY BEATRIZ16,86318.59%0
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIKANDI VARGAS RICARDO ALFREDO6,2646.90%0
MOVIMIENTO CREOGILER MACIAS HOLVER TRINIDAD2,9913.30%0
PARTIDO AVANZALOZADA CORTES DARWIN LENIN2,4732.73%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record EC-P-21.