Office briefing

IMBABURA — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · IMBABURA / IMBABURA · regional · PrefectEC-P-10

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: IMBABURA / IMBABURA
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-d0c46278810af0fbd6663ab2
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA34.3%
IMBABURA DEL FUTURO25.2%
MUÉVETE IMBABURA11.9%
UNIDOS POR IMBABURA10.4%
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK10.1%
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES2.1%
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.0%
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ1.6%
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID1.5%
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.9%

Results for event-47407bc066fce5709c55535e
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · RICHARD CALDERON SALTOS	207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	84,244	34.3%	1	Recorded
IMBABURA DEL FUTURO · LUCIA POSSO	1039ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	61,807	25.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MUÉVETE IMBABURA · JORGE MARTINEZ	1077ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	29,162	11.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNIDOS POR IMBABURA · GUSTAVO PAREJA CISNEROS	1450ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	25,611	10.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · MARCO GUATEMAL	7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	24,820	10.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · JULIO CESAR FLORES	99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	5,212	2.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · CARLOS FLORES	32ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	4,805	2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · DIEGO BUCHELI ACURIO	157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	3,934	1.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PUEBLO IGUALDAD DEMOCRACIA PID · ALFONSO VILLARROEL	222ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	3,625	1.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · LUIS TRUJILLO	34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	2,197	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

ALIANZA TODOS POR IMBABURA43.7%
MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD21.2%
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO8.5%
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL7.1%
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES5.3%
MOVIMIENTO SOMOS LIBRES3.6%
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL3.6%
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION2.6%
UNION ECUATORIANA1.9%
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP1.4%
ALIANZA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO1.1%

Results for event-c36bf0e505f2524f2f7ca0e2
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
ALIANZA TODOS POR IMBABURA · PABLO JURADO MORENO	508ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	99,381	43.7%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ÚNETE, UNIÓN, ÉTICA, TRANSPARENCIA Y EQUIDAD · JUAN MANUEL MANTILLA	181ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	48,206	21.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · VINICIO ROLDAN	782ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	19,237	8.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · HECTOR ALMEIDA	148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	16,047	7.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · ERIKA MACHADO	22ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	12,048	5.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOMOS LIBRES · SANTIAGO GARRIDO TERAN	190ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	8,222	3.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL · AMANDA HIDROBO	170ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	8,155	3.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION · GUILLERMO GAVILANES ARIAS	18ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	5,934	2.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · ROMMEL MAURICIO ROSALES	51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,304	1.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP · MARCOS MARTINEZ FLORES	235ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	3,141	1.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · ANGEL LOPEZ	509ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	2,486	1.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

AVANZA - FUERZA CIUDADANA LISTAS 8 - 6149.7%
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS43.3%
MOVIMIENTO CREO7.0%

Results for event-20e1d36039dd65c111327d9d
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
AVANZA - FUERZA CIUDADANA LISTAS 8 - 61 · JURADO MORENO PABLO ANIBAL	10007ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	113,282	49.7%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · GARCIA POZO DIEGO OSWALDO	3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	98,652	43.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · GUEVARA BETANCOURTH JANETH SAMARITA	8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	15,901	7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

35.570–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.142398448355248, oldest_gap=6.421313669980471, previous_gap=22.52807480157245

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.9578920775659387,0,10.113398827302102,2.1237322597864043,0,0,85.80497683534556],[0,0,0,5.30372731234675,0,0,94.69627268765323],[0,0,0,6.979173524699893,0,43.29975640265982,49.72107007264029]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.98percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.9578920775659387,0,10.113398827302102,2.1237322597864043,0,0,85.80497683534556],[0,0,0,5.30372731234675,0,0,94.69627268765323],[0,0,0,6.979173524699893,0,43.29975640265982,49.72107007264029]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.52percentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.9578920775659387,0,10.113398827302102,2.1237322597864043,0,0,85.80497683534556],[0,0,0,5.30372731234675,0,0,94.69627268765323],[0,0,0,6.979173524699893,0,43.29975640265982,49.72107007264029]]

Source-reported control: Richard Calderón Saltos; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

400,369

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 10,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 400369,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-10",
  "name": "IMBABURA",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1929,
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  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “IMBABURA — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-10. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.