Office briefing

AZUAY — Prefect

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · AZUAY / AZUAY · regional · PrefectEC-P-1

Read the complete original research briefing

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: AZUAY / AZUAY
Next election: 2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event: next-12725016ba9e7e8003b79f00
Registry qualification: Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA20.3%
AZUAY PRIMERO19.6%
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR13.7%
HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO10.9%
AZUAY YA8.1%
AZUAY LIBRE7.4%
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN7.0%
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO6.3%
AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR CUENCA Y EL AZUAY3.7%
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO3.0%

Results for event-8d13051d379eaa825d11c432
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · JUAN CRISTOBAL LLORET	207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	76,455	20.3%	1	Recorded
AZUAY PRIMERO · MARCELO CABRERA	1063ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	73,841	19.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO UNIDAD POPULAR · SEBASTIAN CEVALLOS	231ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	51,646	13.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
HAGÁMOSLO CON SHUNGO · DORA ORDOÑEZ CUEVA	1359ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	40,875	10.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
AZUAY YA · DIEGO ANDRES MONSALVE TAMARIZ	1115ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	30,496	8.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
AZUAY LIBRE · RUTH CALDAS	1017ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	27,907	7.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA GENERACIÓN · DIEGO MORALES	215ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	26,254	7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
¡ATREVETE! JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO · DIEGO MATOVELLE	1430ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	23,894	6.3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
AVANZAMOS PATRIÓTICAMENTE POR CUENCA Y EL AZUAY · MAGALI QUEZADA	1312ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	14,117	3.7%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · FELIPE DELGADO	39ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023	11,221	3%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK29.0%
ALIANZA UNIDAD POR EL CAMBIO19.4%
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO18.1%
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL12.2%
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO11.4%
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS4.5%
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO2.6%
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.1%
UNION ECUATORIANA0.9%
ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA0.9%

Results for event-1ae78a203d3a644c4adf6fe4
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · YAKU PEREZ	12ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	117,163	29%	1	Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDAD POR EL CAMBIO · MARIA CECILIA ALVARADO CARRION	677ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	78,428	19.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA IGUALDAD-CREO · ESTEBAN BERNAL	560ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	72,971	18.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · MANUEL ALVARADO	148ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	49,171	12.2%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA JUNTOS POR EL FUTURO · GEOVANNY PALACIOS	556ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	46,021	11.4%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA AZUAY EL FUTURO QUE SOÑAMOS · ANDRES PEÑAFIEL BERMEO	748ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	18,188	4.5%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL CRISTIANO · FERNANDO AGUIRRE	1ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	10,496	2.6%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · SANTIAGO MENDEZ	158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	4,251	1.1%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · EDY PESANTEZ	51ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	3,718	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
ALIANZA JUSTICIA CON CONCIENCIA CIUDADANA · SERGIO MENDEZ	750ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019	3,601	0.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-8257.1%
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS39.0%
MOVIMIENTO CREO3.9%

Results for event-5e52669d2cdbb42bd585c2ab
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
ALIANZA "PARTICIPA CON IGUALDAD" LISTAS 62-82 · CARRASCO CARPIO PAUL ERNESTO	1008ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	224,151	57.1%	1	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS · VASQUEZ QUEZADA MARIA CARIDAD	3ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	153,341	39%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · RAMIA REYES ERNESTO PATRICIO	8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014	15,224	3.9%	0 (recorded zero)	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

74.520–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.6939098395034833, oldest_gap=18.030841626009632, previous_gap=9.58768143205085

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[2.5979683570622365,0,29.000168313498744,0,0,0,68.40186332943902],[0,0,0,3.876592754051274,0,39.04628280996955,57.07712443597918]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.92percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[2.5979683570622365,0,29.000168313498744,0,0,0,68.40186332943902],[0,0,0,3.876592754051274,0,39.04628280996955,57.07712443597918]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[2.5979683570622365,0,29.000168313498744,0,0,0,68.40186332943902],[0,0,0,3.876592754051274,0,39.04628280996955,57.07712443597918]]

Source-reported control: Juan Cristóbal Lloret; Primary prefect association directory; page undated; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Current party affiliation unverified; older biography labels are not copied to a successor. Primary prefect association directory; page undated

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

As of

Electors

Notes

2026-08-11

621,904

Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.

{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": null,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 1,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 621904,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-P-1",
  "name": "AZUAY",
  "office": "Prefect",
  "precinct_rows": [
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  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Sources

Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-electorales-2023/?wpdmdl=39834 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019/?wpdmdl=20971 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/download/resultados-a-nivel-parroquial-2014/?wpdmdl=21133 · rights unknown
Ecuador: https://www.cne.gob.ec/distributivos-de-electores-2027/ · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2023.zip · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2023.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_resultados-dignidad-vocales-de-juntas-parroquiales-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2019.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ecuador_2014.sav · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE Ecuador — ec_candidatos-2014.dat · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE 2027 precinct and electorate distribution, cutoff 11 August 2026 · rights unknown
Ecuador: CNE resolution PLE-CNE-1-31-7-2026: ordinary election call for 29 November 2026 · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AZUAY — Prefect.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-P-1. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.