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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PLAYAS / GUAYAS — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · PLAYAS / GUAYAS / GUAYAS · municipal · MayorEC-M-9-735

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PLAYAS / GUAYAS / GUAYAS
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-e72eb08092310bdf832a0455
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK25.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES18.1%
  • PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO17.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA16.4%
  • PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA10.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO5.0%
  • PRIMERO PLAYAS2.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA2.6%
  • ALIANZA POR PLAYAS1.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ0.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO0.2%
Results for event-b272348bbf026ecd0a301aef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · GABRIEL BALLADARES7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20238,87925.3%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · DANY MITE99ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,36518.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO · MIRIAM LUCAS1167ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20236,01917.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA · DANIEL ANDRADE207ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20235,76916.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · CARLOS ENCALADA117ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233,79710.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · EDISON SALAZAR124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,7665%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRIMERO PLAYAS · RODDY LOOR1166ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239222.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA · WALTHER ARAGUNDI42ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20239002.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA POR PLAYAS · LUIS DEL VALLE ALCIVAR1428ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20233691.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · ALISON DE LA A101ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231540.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ · LUIS ALBERTO CASTILLO GOMEZ157ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231240.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · CINTHIA FLORES34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023600.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES34.6%
  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO30.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL7.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA7.2%
  • JUNTOS POR PLAYAS5.2%
  • ALIANZA REVIVE PAIS5.1%
  • ALIANZA LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO Y MOVIMIENTO PLAYASENSES AL CAMBIO3.2%
  • UNION ECUATORIANA2.5%
  • UNIDAD POPULAR0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO0.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO0.4%
  • FUERZA.EC0.4%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA0.4%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE0.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS0.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO0.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO0.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META)0.1%
Results for event-fb0b3ccb539749b61294e78e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO CREO, CREANDO OPORTUNIDADES · DANY CILENIO MITE22ecuador/Sed7b513864/201911,00434.6%1Recorded
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · MIRIAM LUCAS DELGADO534ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199,82530.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO F. COMPROMISO SOCIAL · DANIEL ANDRADE JAIME148ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,5027.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · WALTHER ARAGUNDI37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192,3037.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR PLAYAS · MICHEL ACHI MARIN629ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6415.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA REVIVE PAIS · SANDRA VICUÑA PIEDRA647ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,6075.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO Y MOVIMIENTO PLAYASENSES AL CAMBIO · SALOMON AGUIRRE ORRALA693ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,0183.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION ECUATORIANA · GREGORIO ANDRADE BRAVO51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20198072.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDAD POPULAR · NORIDALBA BRAVO BRAVO143ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192190.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO · MIGUEL ANGEL NICOLA NICOLA219ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191320.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO · JUAN FORTUNATO MARURI ORELLANA3ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191270.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA.EC · SHIRLEY BARAHONA APOLINARIO146ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191200.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ALBERTO GERMAN PROAÑO PEÑAFIEL152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191170.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · IVAN LITUMA MANZO158ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019990.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS · DIEGO ZAPATIER142ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019890.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO · MAYRA SAENZ ALARCON8ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019680.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SALUD Y TRABAJO · PAULO MENEZES PETITO24ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019540.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO EMERGENTE DE TRANSPARENCIA Y ACCION (META) · PHILIPP HAESLI DELEBARRE50ecuador/Sed7b513864/2019440.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO21.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO PLAYASENSE AL CAMBIO18.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENACE VILLAMIL VENCEREMOS14.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO CREO14.0%
  • 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO10.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA8.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK8.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA1.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO1.0%
  • PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO0.2%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO0.2%
Results for event-a986d777da04c3aa8b4f9e8a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · LUCAS DELGADO MIRIAM ELIZABETH9017ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145,81421.5%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO PLAYASENSE AL CAMBIO · AGUIRRE ORRALA GILBERTO SALOMON9004ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144,87818.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENACE VILLAMIL VENCEREMOS · DE LA A ESCALANTE GABINO ROGELIO9011ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,88114.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CREO · HIDALGO LEY CARMEN AMALIA8ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20143,79014%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
6-MADERA DE GUERRERO · CANSING JACHO GUILLERMO CESAR9013ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,72910.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · GOMEZ VALDIVIEZO ROBERTO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,3108.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ANDRADE BRAVO GREGORIO GABRIEL GONZALO5ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,2058.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · BORBOR VERA GUILLERMO ALEJANDRO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20145592.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · TORRES GONZALEZ JORGE VICENTE13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20144811.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · PINOARGOTE SOTO VICTOR HUGO10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142601%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ROLDOSISTA ECUATORIANO · MENDIETA YAGUAL ROMULO1ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014650.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · PINARGOTE GUTIERREZ JOSE VICENTE2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/2014480.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

71.230–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.157499145883158, oldest_gap=3.4641006661732057, previous_gap=3.7103474320241645

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.43844664616786244,25.279011502106822,18.121512356223665,0,0,56.161029495501644],[0,0,0,34.62990936555891,7.247608257804632,0,58.122482376636434],[0,8.549222797927461,8.160621761658032,14.026646928201332,1.7801628423390081,0,67.48334566987414]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.43844664616786244,25.279011502106822,18.121512356223665,0,0,56.161029495501644],[0,0,0,34.62990936555891,7.247608257804632,0,58.122482376636434],[0,8.549222797927461,8.160621761658032,14.026646928201332,1.7801628423390081,0,67.48334566987414]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.43844664616786244,25.279011502106822,18.121512356223665,0,0,56.161029495501644],[0,0,0,34.62990936555891,7.247608257804632,0,58.122482376636434],[0,8.549222797927461,8.160621761658032,14.026646928201332,1.7801628423390081,0,67.48334566987414]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1145,546
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 735,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 9,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 45546,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-9-735",
  "name": "PLAYAS / GUAYAS",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    1439,
    1440,
    1441,
    1442,
    1443,
    1901,
    1902,
    1903,
    1910
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “PLAYAS / GUAYAS — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-9-735. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.