Ecuador · GUAYAS
GUAYAQUIL / GUAYAS — Mayor
The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.
Historical competition
Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.
Provisional imported-series CI: 30.2/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.
Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 3.4 points; earlier interval 3.1 points; two-interval mean 3.2 points.
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.
Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.
Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.
Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4
Ordinary election register
Ordinary office verified: July 2026 call and August CNE territorial register. CNE province / canton / parish codes: 9 / 390.
The precinct distribution dated 11 August 2026 assigns 2,019,614 electors to this territory. CNE distribution. This administrative count is separate from historical votes and turnout. Territorial totals overlap across office types.
Electoral event evidence
Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.
2023-02-05 · ordinary
Coverage: Official votes and elected roster
Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO REVOLUCIÓN CIUDADANA | AQUILES ALVAREZ | 562,041 | 39.87% | 1 |
| PSC-MADERA DE GUERRERO | CYNTHIA VITERI | 428,422 | 30.39% | 0 |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MÁS ACCIÓN, SUMA | PEDRO PABLO DUART | 198,688 | 14.09% | 0 |
| ALIANZA 1-17 | JIMMY JAIRALA VALLAZZA | 145,831 | 10.34% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO VERDE, ÉTICO, REVOLUCIONARIO, DEMOCRÁTICO, (MOVER) | JONATHAN PARRA | 18,903 | 1.34% | 0 |
| MINGA POR GUAYAQUIL | ECUADOR MONTENEGRO MORAN | 14,992 | 1.06% | 0 |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO | ROCIO SERRANO | 11,118 | 0.79% | 0 |
| PARTIDO IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA | JOHN ANTONIO GARAYCOA | 8,739 | 0.62% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO RENOVACIÓN | IVAN TUTILLO ARCENTALES | 7,749 | 0.55% | 0 |
| PARTIDO AVANZA | ANTONIO ORBE | 7,175 | 0.51% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO DEMOCRACIA SÍ | JAIME ABEL PAEZ MUENTES | 6,066 | 0.43% | 0 |
2019-03-24 · ordinary
Coverage: Official votes and elected roster
Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO | CYNTHIA VITERI | 714,369 | 52.60% | 1 |
| ALIANZA NUEVO GUAYAQUIL | JIMMY JAIRALA VALLAZZA | 431,853 | 31.80% | 0 |
| CREO - MST | FRANCISCO JIMENEZ SANCHEZ | 40,089 | 2.95% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA | SIMON BOLIVAR ROSERO | 36,738 | 2.70% | 0 |
| PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE | GINO CORNEJO | 30,923 | 2.28% | 0 |
| FUERZA.EC | BALERIO ESTACIO | 25,383 | 1.87% | 0 |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA ECUATORIANO | EDUARDO ARGUDO GONZALEZ | 11,236 | 0.83% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBERTAD ES PUEBLO, LEP | JUAN MANUEL BERMUDEZ COBOS | 11,037 | 0.81% | 0 |
| PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIOTICA 21 DE ENERO | MARTHA ALEXANDRA MACIAS CEDEÑO | 9,348 | 0.69% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO JUSTICIA SOCIAL | CARLOS CASSANELLO | 8,714 | 0.64% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO ECUATORIANO UNIDO | JORGE VILLACRESES GUILLEN | 7,714 | 0.57% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO CONCERTACION | EDGAR SALAZAR | 6,801 | 0.50% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO NACIONAL PODEMOS | JAIME HUGO LOMAS PINARGOTE | 5,955 | 0.44% | 0 |
| IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA | JOSE INCA VELIZ | 5,588 | 0.41% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA | PATRICIO BUENDIA NOROÑA | 5,157 | 0.38% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK | OCTAVIO SUAREZ | 3,995 | 0.29% | 0 |
| UNION ECUATORIANA | JORGE COPPIANO MARIN | 3,339 | 0.25% | 0 |
2014-02-23 · ordinary
Coverage: Official votes and elected roster
Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-MADERA DE GUERRERO | NEBOT SAADI JAIME JOSE | 841,901 | 59.46% | 1 |
| ALIANZA PAIS Y MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO | BONILLA SALCEDO VIVIANA PATRICIA | 554,337 | 39.15% | 0 |
| PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO | ESTACIO VALENCIA SINDULFO BALERIO | 13,999 | 0.99% | 0 |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK | ALVAREZ GAVILANEZ EDUARDO ROBERTO | 5,733 | 0.40% | 0 |
Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record EC-M-9-390.