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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

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CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor
Latin America register

Ecuador · CHIMBORAZO

CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

Election expectation2026-11-29
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles3 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 15.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 14.4 points; earlier interval 22.0 points; two-interval mean 18.2 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Ordinary election register

Ordinary office verified: July 2026 call and August CNE territorial register. CNE province / canton / parish codes: 6 / 900.

The precinct distribution dated 11 August 2026 assigns 13,694 electors to this territory. CNE distribution. This administrative count is separate from historical votes and turnout. Territorial totals overlap across office types.

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-02-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA 5-16OSWALDO BONIFAZ4,73246.92%1
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICOOSWALDO COPA2,10820.90%0
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIOBRENDA ARACELY TORRES CHAVEZ1,50814.95%0
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENEROARQUIMIDES SILVA1,16211.52%0
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIKJENIFER HARO1921.90%0
VIDAFLOR MARIXA CEVALLOS TORRES1661.65%0
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGOOLGUITA ORTIZ1501.49%0
SERROSA RAMONA CALLE SANCHEZ380.38%0
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETOFABIOLA PARRA290.29%0

Result source · Seat source

2019-03-24 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
UNION ECUATORIANAELIANA MEDINA1,89419.21%1
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)MILTON ESPINOZA1,52215.44%0
CENTRO DEMOCRATICOSTALIN MAÑAY1,23912.57%0
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDADOSWALDO COPA1,17411.91%0
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIOARQUIMIDES SILVA1,14511.61%0
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMAMARCO MAQUISACA1,12211.38%0
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICAROBERTO GUERRA URGILES9729.86%0
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANAHERNAN VIQUE VILLACRES2963.00%0
ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMEROFRANKLIN MORALES2072.10%0
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIKANIBAL GUAILLASACA1501.52%0
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTEFELIX ALARCON1381.40%0

Result source · Seat source

2014-02-23 · ordinary

Coverage: Official votes and elected roster

Basis: Valid votes for candidates/lists

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO SUMAMAQUISACA SILVA MARCO ELI2,11824.40%1
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIOESPINOZA CORDERO MILTON EFREN1,89621.84%0
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZORODRIGUEZ VILLALVA ALEX OMAR1,52817.60%0
ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"COPA MULLO OSWALDO1,30915.08%0
PARTIDO AVANZAMERINO MONTOYA IVAN RODRIGO7768.94%0
MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAYFLORES VALENCIA JAIME DANILO6107.03%0
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"ALARCON QUINTO FELIX ERASMO2592.98%0
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICOMURILLO VELASCO MIGUEL ANGEL1842.12%0

Result source · Seat source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record EC-M-6-900.