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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Ecuador · CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO · municipal · MayorEC-M-6-900

Read the complete original research briefing

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO / CHIMBORAZO
Next election
2026-11-29
Linked upcoming event
next-0576a421fce8cf3232f57b5c
Registry qualification
Qualified in source register

2. How certain is that date?

2026-11-29 is formally called. Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-02-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA 5-1646.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO20.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO15.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO11.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.9%
  • VIDA1.6%
  • CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO1.5%
  • SER0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO0.3%
Results for event-dcaa33b2e12f95652ae01fdf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA 5-16 · OSWALDO BONIFAZ1315ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20234,73246.9%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO CENTRO DEMOCRÁTICO · OSWALDO COPA124ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20232,10820.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · BRENDA ARACELY TORRES CHAVEZ123ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,50815%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA 21 DE ENERO · ARQUIMIDES SILVA34ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231,16211.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · JENIFER HARO7ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231921.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIDA · FLOR MARIXA CEVALLOS TORRES1147ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231661.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONSTRUIMOS CONTIGO · OLGUITA ORTIZ1275ecuador/Sa5c026518f/20231501.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SER · ROSA RAMONA CALLE SANCHEZ1371ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023380.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO RENOVACIÓN TOTAL, RETO · FABIOLA PARRA226ecuador/Sa5c026518f/2023290.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-03-24

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • UNION ECUATORIANA19.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA)15.4%
  • CENTRO DEMOCRATICO12.6%
  • ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD11.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO11.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA11.4%
  • IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA9.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA3.0%
  • ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK1.5%
  • PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE1.4%
Results for event-a52e8f66728c64be8f6747da
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION ECUATORIANA · ELIANA MEDINA51ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,89419.2%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO INTERCULTURAL DE GENTE ACTIVA (MINGA) · MILTON ESPINOZA206ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,52215.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · STALIN MAÑAY145ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,23912.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CÓDIGO DE LA UNIDAD · OSWALDO COPA577ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,17411.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO POLÍTICO PROVINCIAL CAMBIO · ARQUIMIDES SILVA144ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,14511.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIEDAD UNIDA MAS ACCION, SUMA · MARCO MAQUISACA37ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191,12211.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IZQUIERDA DEMOCRÁTICA · ROBERTO GUERRA URGILES152ecuador/Sed7b513864/20199729.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA PAIS, PATRIA ALTIVA I SOBERANA · HERNAN VIQUE VILLACRES13ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192963%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA CHIMBORAZO PRIMERO · FRANKLIN MORALES710ecuador/Sed7b513864/20192072.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD PLURINACIONAL PACHAKUTIK · ANIBAL GUAILLASACA12ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191501.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO ADELANTE ECUATORIANO ADELANTE · FELIX ALARCON158ecuador/Sed7b513864/20191381.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2014-02-23

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SUMA24.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO21.8%
  • ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO17.6%
  • ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO"15.1%
  • PARTIDO AVANZA8.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY7.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO"3.0%
  • PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO2.1%
Results for event-9601fc68080c3de8aad3ba1b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SUMA · MAQUISACA SILVA MARCO ELI13ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142,11824.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA FRENTE AMPLIO · ESPINOZA CORDERO MILTON EFREN10ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,89621.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA 35-18 CHIMBORAZO · RODRIGUEZ VILLALVA ALEX OMAR6009ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,52817.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALIANZA "UNIDOS POR CHIMBORAZO" · COPA MULLO OSWALDO6005ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141,30915.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO AVANZA · MERINO MONTOYA IVAN RODRIGO6ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20147768.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO AMAUTA YUYAY · FLORES VALENCIA JAIME DANILO6002ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20146107%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO SOCIEDAD PATRIÓTICA "21 DE ENERO" · ALARCON QUINTO FELIX ERASMO4ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20142593%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DEMOCRATICO · MURILLO VELASCO MIGUEL ANGEL2ecuador/S09da2a23f3/20141842.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

150–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.01883986117997, oldest_gap=2.557603686635943, previous_gap=3.773202150319504

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.9038175508180466,0,0,0,98.09618244918195],[0,0,1.5214524799675424,0,11.380464550157217,3.002332893802617,84.09575007607263],[0,8.940092165898617,0,0,24.400921658986174,0,66.6589861751152]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,1.9038175508180466,0,0,0,98.09618244918195],[0,0,1.5214524799675424,0,11.380464550157217,3.002332893802617,84.09575007607263],[0,8.940092165898617,0,0,24.400921658986174,0,66.6589861751152]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.17percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Six named standalone categories in CNE returns, including explicit short/expanded CREO, SUMA and Alianza PAIS labels. Mixed alliances, successor movements and other parties stay Other. This does not attribute Revolución Ciudadana votes to Alianza PAIS. Multi-mark and otherwise ineligible histories remain excluded. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PSC","Avanza","Pachakutik","CREO","SUMA","Alianza PAIS","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,1.9038175508180466,0,0,0,98.09618244918195],[0,0,1.5214524799675424,0,11.380464550157217,3.002332893802617,84.09575007607263],[0,8.940092165898617,0,0,24.400921658986174,0,66.6589861751152]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

Electoral register observations

Dated elector counts stay distinct from turnout and are not summed across overlapping contests.

Register observations
As ofElectorsNotes
2026-08-1113,694
Dated CNE administrative observation; not historical turnout. July count, difference and spending limit are retained separately.
{
  "call_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "cne_canton": 900,
  "cne_parish": null,
  "cne_province": 6,
  "election_date": "2026-11-29",
  "electors_august": 13694,
  "jurisdiction_id": "EC-M-6-900",
  "name": "CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO",
  "office": "Mayor",
  "precinct_rows": [
    815,
    816,
    817,
    840
  ],
  "record_type": "official_electoral_register",
  "register_pdf_page": 7,
  "register_source_id": "SA40-EC-CALL",
  "snapshot": "2026-08-11",
  "source_id": "SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION"
}

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Council and parish votes before 2023 are candidate marks; 2023 is a closed-list ballot. Do not compare these vote shares as a continuous series. The 29 November 2026 ordinary cohort is reconciled to the CNE register. August precinct-distribution electors are a dated administrative count, not historical turnout or votes. Territorial boundary comparability, intervening outcomes and current control remain separate checks. The ordinary register is reconciled: 23 prefectures, 222 mayoralties, 222 municipal councils and 825 parish boards match the signed July 2026 call/list and August CNE codes. Borbón’s mayor/council and Miss Ecuador’s parish board are separate March 2027 first contests. Historical boundary comparability and some new-parish final returns remain open. Calacalí has final completion evidence but only preliminary rounded shares and secondary seat affiliations. Six first-election party vectors and elected rosters are recovered for the four 2024 parishes and Sevilla Don Bosco in 2025. Four small ballot-total discrepancies remain explicit. Shuar Pastaza remains preliminary. Fifteen July/August parish electorate differences are retained as dated observations.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CUMANDÁ / CHIMBORAZO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/EC-M-6-900. Sources: ecuador--url-e0444af67a46db0c3c537d63, ecuador--url-afbb9a85cc78f50c79da76d6, ecuador--url-5b82aaaec7b8c8ce1fd49557, ecuador--url-e67940bdf0f1387ed11ac338, ecuador--Sa5c026518f, ecuador--Sadcc145662, ecuador--Sed7b513864, ecuador--Sf4e4f8e986, ecuador--S09da2a23f3, ecuador--S5c50f97474, ecuador--SA40-EC-DISTRIBUTION, ecuador--SA40-EC-CALL.